The FantasyLabs MLB Player Models house numerous data points to help you construct your MLB DFS rosters.
They house our floor, median, and ceiling projections for each player, but that’s just the beginning of what you’ll find inside. You’ll also find our Trends tool, stacking tool, and more.
Also, don’t forget that for large-field tournaments, you can utilize our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 300 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your teams for cash games or small-field tournaments.
Let’s dive into some MLB plays that stand out in our Player Models for today’s slate.
Bargain Rating Picks
You might be asking: what is Bargain Rating, and why should I care?
Bargain Rating shows how much of a bargain a player is on one DFS site versus others. If a player is significantly cheaper on one site than the other, they will have a favorable Bargain Rating on the site where they’re more affordable and a poor Bargain Rating on the site where they’re more expensive. It’s a straightforward metric, but targeting players at reduced price tags is almost always a strong strategy in DFS.
Bargain Rating strongly correlates with player value, which you can quickly see with our predictive projected Plus/Minus metric.
Seeing how Plus/Minus helps you project how many points a player is expected to score compared to what their salary implies them to score, this is a good company for Bargain Rating.
MLB DFS DraftKings Bargain Value
Jonah Bride ($2,400): First Baseman/Third Baseman, Miami Marlins
With three home runs in his last five games, Jonah Bride is a low-budget option with strong momentum at the plate. The Marlins utility man has multiple stints in the Miami lineup this season but may now be there to stay with his recent power show.
In 21 big league games this campaign, Bride is batting .246/.313/.439 with 12 RBI. His only three home runs have come in the last week, with three double-digit DraftKings point totals in those outings. He has a +3.37 average Plus/Minus over his last 10 games.
The Marlins face Reds right-hander Nick Martinez on the mound. He is 5-5 with a 3.65 ERA and 1.13 WHIP.
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MLB DFS Ceiling Projection Picks
Pitcher
Tyler Glasnow ($10,200) vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Tyler Glasnow is head and shoulders above the rest of the main slate pitching options in ceiling potential, but fantasy owners will have to pay up for that projected fantasy value.
His 8-6 record and 3.50 ERA may not garner thunderous applause, but Glasnow has been excellent for the Dodgers this season. He is second in the National League with a 0.96 WHIP and 155 strikeouts. He allows a .196 xBA and 2.60 xERA but had his worst month of the season in July by allowing 10 runs in 18 innings pitched over three starts.
Using Plate IQ, the Phillies have a .168 ISO and .325 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. They have a relatively high home run projection tonight but a projected run total under 4.0. Glasnow has a high strikeout projection, even with the Phillies limiting their whiff rate to 21.9%.
Hitter
Shohei Ohtani ($6,600) vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Just a normal fantasy day with Shohei Ohtani on top of the ceiling projections as the Dodgers open a home series against Aaron Nola and the Phillies.
Ohtani continues to rake in the fantasy points and accolades this season as he leads the National League with 33 home runs, a 60.3 hard hit %, and barrel rate. He is on pace at the plate to match, or outperform, his historic 2023 season with a .306/.396/.621 batting line.
He has a +2.55 average Plus/Minus over his last 10 games with three home runs and five 15+ DraftKings point performances in that span. He remains one of the most consistent fantasy investments in baseball.
Nola gets the start for the Phillies at 11-4 with a 3.43 ERA. He has allowed the third-most home runs in the National League (19) but also sits ninth in strikeouts (130).
More DraftKings MLB DFS Hitters and Pitchers
One of the great features of being a FantasyLabs Pro member is the option to purchase additional items in the FantasyLabs Marketplace.
A new addition to our MLB projections is THE BAT X from Derek Carty of RotoGrinders. With this purchase, you can use his projections alone or create aggregate projections within our Player Models.
For this example, we created a 50/50 blend with THE BAT X and the FantasyLabs projections to pinpoint some hitters standing out with this blend.
MLB DFS Pitcher
Logan Webb ($8,400) at Washington Nationals
Coming off an awesome fantasy performance in his last start, with 37.65 DraftKings points, the model likes Logan Webb to repeat that result tonight in the nation’s capital.
This season, Webb is 8-8 with a 3.49 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. He does allow an elevated 47.5% hard-hit rate and has given up the most hits in the National League. Webb has a +0.44 average Plus/Minus on the season but is a boom-or-bust proposition. He did not reach double-digit DraftKings points in any of his three starts prior to his massive last outing.
The Nationals’ lineup has three high ISO and five high wOBA hitters. They have a low home run projection tonight, but expect Webb to battle through some base runners tonight to reach a solid fantasy total.
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MLB DFS Hitters
Maikel Garcia ($4,300) vs. Boston Red Sox
The Royals don’t appear near the top of the implied run totals often, but tonight is the opportunity for Maikel Garcia and Kansas City on the main slate. Garcia’s speed creates fantasy opportunities at the plate and on the base paths to take advantage of the team’s projected high offensive output.
Garcia is second in the American League with 27 stolen bases and sixth with five triples on the season. Overall, he is batting .236/.285/.343 with six home runs, 45 RBI, and 69 runs scored. The ceiling is capped without power upside, but Garcia can easily tally double-digit fantasy points when he reaches base safely.
Veteran James Paxton gets the nod for the Red Sox with an 8-3 record and a 4.52 ERA. He allows a high 11.9 BB% and only boasts a 16.8 K%.
Tyler Fitzgerald ($4,500) at Washington Nationals
In his first substantial playing time at the big league level, Giants outfielder Tyler Fitzgerald has turned some heads with his performance at the plate. Through 50 games this season, Fitzgerald is batting .309/.369/.632 with 11 home runs and 23 RBI.
Over the last 10 games, Fitzgerald has a +4.71 average Plus/Minus with five home runs and nine RBI. He has a 46.1 sweet spot % and .422 wOBA on the season and five hits in 13 at-bats so far in August.
Take a flyer on Fitzgerald today in Washington with a plus matchup against Patrick Corbin. Corbin is second in the National League in losses at 2-11 with a 5.88 ERA and 1.53 WHIP.
