The FantasyLabs MLB Player Models house numerous data points to help you construct your MLB DFS rosters.
They house our floor, median, and ceiling projections for each player, but that’s just the beginning of what you’ll find inside. You’ll also find our Trends tool, stacking tool, and more.
Also, don’t forget that for large-field tournaments, you can utilize our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 300 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your teams for cash games or small-field tournaments.
Let’s dive into some MLB plays that stand out in our Player Models for today’s main slate.
Bargain Rating Picks
You might be asking: what is Bargain Rating, and why should I care?
Bargain Rating shows how much of a bargain a player is on one DFS site versus others. If a player is significantly cheaper on one site than the other, they will have a favorable Bargain Rating on the site where they’re more affordable and a poor Bargain Rating on the site where they’re more expensive. It’s a straightforward metric, but targeting players at reduced price tags is almost always a strong strategy in DFS.
Bargain Rating strongly correlates with player value, which you can quickly see with our predictive projected Plus/Minus metric.
Seeing how Plus/Minus helps you project how many points a player is expected to score compared to what their salary implies them to score, this is a good company for Bargain Rating.
MLB DFS DraftKings Bargain Value
Ranger Suarez ($7,000): Pitcher, Philadelphia Phillies
Ranger Suarez has impressed in June after a difficult start to his season in May. Overall, Suarez is 1-2 with a 3.50 ERA, but he has a 1.04 ERA in four June starts allowing just three earned runs in 26 innings.
PlateIQ shows Suarez is inducing 52% ground balls on balls in play this season and faces a lineup of Chicago Cubs hitters with low fantasy projections tonight.
Suarez does allow .343 wOBA to righties, and the Cubs plan to stack right-handers in the batter’s box. With five straight positive Plus/Minus games, he is a solid pitching option for fantasy lineups on this slate.
Jordan Westburg ($2,000): Shortstop, Baltimore Orioles
The 24-year-old rookie will play in his second big league game tonight in Baltimore. Jordan Westburg went 1-4 with an RBI in his major league debut last night.
Westburg batted .278/.371/.506 through three minor league seasons in 317 games. He showed some power with 60 home runs and 239 RBI in that span.
At the minimum salary threshold, Westburg is a lottery ticket play tonight against fellow rookie Andrew Abbott on the mound for the Reds. Abbott is 3-0 with a 1.14 ERA in four starts. The youth will be on display in this matchup with a wide range of potential outcomes.
MLB DFS Ceiling Projection Picks
Pitcher
Kevin Gausman ($11,000 DraftKings, $11,000 FanDuel) vs. San Francisco Giants
With a career record under .500, Kevin Gausman continues to outperform expectations in 2023 with a 7-3 mark and 3.10 ERA. He leads the American League with 127 strikeouts.
The Giants have one of the lowest implied run totals on the slate tonight as Gausman looks to pick up his fifth win in June. He has been the recipient of solid run support over his last three starts, giving up 10 total earned runs in those outings.
Gausman has eight 27+ DraftKings point results on the year in 16 starts. The model gives him the highest ceiling potential on the slate.
Hitter
Mookie Betts ($6,400 DraftKings, $4,500 FanDuel) at Colorado Rockies
The Dodgers and Mookie Betts travel to Colorado today for their first games of the season in the mile-high air. Betts will take any boost he can to break out of his 4-26 streak over the last seven games. He does have two home runs in that span, but those were his only two extra-base knocks.
On the season, Betts is batting .258/.354/.512 and lands in the top 10% of all hitters with a .522 xSLG and .371 wOBA.
He faces Connor Seabold of the Rockies tonight. Seabold is 1-3 with a. 5.88 ERA in 16 appearances and nine starts. Vegas gives the Dodgers one of the highest implied run totals of the season. Expect many fantasy owners to stack Dodgers hitters in their lineups.
More MLB DFS Hitters and Pitchers
One of the great features of being a FantasyLabs Pro member is the option to purchase additional items in the FantasyLabs Marketplace.
In addition to our in-house MLB projections, THE BAT X from Derek Carty of RotoGrinders is available in our marketplace. With this purchase, you can use his projections alone or create aggregate projections within our Player Models.
For this example, we created a 50/50 blend with THE BAT X and the FantasyLabs projections to pinpoint some hitters that are standing out with this blend.
Pitcher
Tyler Wells ($8,400 DraftKings, $9,200 FanDuel) vs. Cincinnati Reds
In his third major league season, Tyler Wells is having the best campaign of his career. He is 6-3 with a 6.22 ERA in 14 starts with a minuscule 0.89 WHIP.
The main knock on Wells is his tendency to give up the long ball. He has allowed a surprising 18 home runs on the season, the fourth most in the American League.
Despite allowing five total home runs in his last five starts, Wells has a positive Plus/Minus rating in each, with three 20+ DraftKings point performances.
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Hitters
Marcus Semien ($5,700 DraftKings, $3,700 FanDuel) vs. Detroit Tigers
Marcus Semien is having one of his best seasons in his second year with the Rangers. A career .257 hitter, Semien is batting .281/.342/.462 in 2023 with 11 HR and 55 RBI.
Semien ranks near league leaders with 63 runs, 93 hits, and 23 doubles. He has three straight multi-hit games, swatting 7-14 in that span with a home run.
The Rangers face right-hander Matt Manning of the Tigers at home tonight. Manning is 1-1 with a 4.63 ERA in just two starts this season.
Freddie Freeman ($6,200 DraftKings, $4,600 FanDuel) at Colorado Rockies
Get the Dodgers in your lineups tonight in Colorado. With one of the highest implied run totals of the year, Freddie Freeman has a chance to reach his high ceiling potential.
Freeman is batting .317/.397/.549 on the year with 14 home runs and 48 RBI. Though it’s been a while since his last one on June 9, Freeman has 11 20+ DraftKings point games on the season.
Seabold has allowed seven of his 11 home runs to left-handed hitters this season. Freeman is a high priority option on the slate and likely will have high ownership numbers.
