Game 4 of the World Series starts at 8:08 pm E.T. on FOX.
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Los Angeles Dodgers (-166) at Tampa bay Rays (+152)
The Los Angeles Dodgers put together an impressive performance against Charlie Morton and the Tampa Bay Rays last night. They’ll hope to take a commanding 3-1 series lead tonight with Julio Urias ($15,600 Captain, $10,400 Flex on DraftKings) on the mound.
Urias has been nothing short of spectacular this postseason, pitching 16 innings while allowing one earned run on seven hits and striking at 16. His opponent is fellow lefty Ryan Yarbrough ($15,000, $10,000). He has been efficient over 11.1 innings, allowing four earned runs in two starts and two relief appearances. Yarbrough’s kryptonite is home runs; he has allowed three this postseason and will face a lineup that hits dingers.
The Dodgers have seven home runs and 18 runs scored so far in the World Series and are favored by 1.1 runs (in implied total terms) this evening. The once impenetrable Rays bullpen has seen four relievers give up runs. I do not expect much different tonight.
Julio Urias is the Bales Model’s favorite option at the Captain spot on DraftKings. He also rates first as a Flex option. The lefty is a no-brainer in Showdown and would be on FanDuel if pitchers were included.
Mookie Betts is the model’s top hitter on tonight’s slate on FanDuel and second on DraftKings behind Yandy Diaz. At $4,800 on DraftKings, Diaz is a cost-saving option because he is priced as the 24th batter and has at least one hit in every World Series game. The downfall for Diaz is his lack of run scoring or production (goose eggs in both categories through three games). This limits Diaz to a flex play as opposed to a captain spot for me.
A.J. Pollock is another player to take advantage of, especially on FanDuel. He is the ninth-best hitter according to the Bales Model and is priced as the 12th hitter on their single game offerings. Pollock is a destroyer of lefties and should face Yarbrough at least once before he gives way to the bullpen. He may not hit at the top of the order, but Pollock offers salary flexibility to where I built a lineup on FanDuel with Mookie Betts, Corey Seager, and him.
Speaking of Betts and Seager, find a way to get them in your lineup(s). Seager is setting postseason home run records for shortstops and has a postseason Weighted Runs Created Plus (wRC+) of 198. Betts is not far behind with a wRC+ of 145. The two have also increased their walk rates from the regular season. Walks score as many points as singles in DFS.
I will die on the Mike Brosseau hill. The righty has been a dud since the Wild Card round, but his production against southpaws this season is nothing to scoff at. His salary has dropped $400 on DraftKings since Game 1 of the World Series. If he plays, I will have him in some lineups.
Chris Taylor has posted double-digit fantasy points in two of three World Series games and is another salary saving option on FanDuel.
Randy Arozarena and Manuel Margot are the two of four Rays to have points in all three World Series games. Both can be contrarian plays in Captain or MVP/Star scoring slots with Margot being the cheaper of the two. Margot has a hit and run scored in each game.
Willy Adames hits lefties well and is a batter you have to scroll down the player listings to find. He is also the last hitter to have fantasy points in every game for Tampa Bay. All three of his World Series hits have been doubles.
I love Enrique Hernandez as a minimum-priced hitter on FanDuel. He plays against lefty pitchers and should slot behind Pollock in the batting order. A mini-stack of those two allows for another high-priced hitter and could be the difference between min-cashing and walking away with a much heavier wallet.
