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MLB DFS 4/5/16 Slate Breakdown

Being an on-going series, we’re clearly open for suggestions as to how these previews can continue to be the absolute best. It is only the third (second?) day of the season, after all, so now’s as good a time as any to adjust (if need be).

And yes, need be.

Although All Day slates are considered the most important in baseball, Main and Late still do, in fact, exist. Which is why from now on, if a player in the Early Only is considered the top option, I’ll be sure to recommend another player for later. Rejoice, degens.

Let’s get to it.

Pitchers

Noah Syndergaard, NYM

Along with a strikeouts-per-nine rate that trails only Corey Kluber in this entire slate, Syndergaard’s hard-hit percentage of 26% (fourth lowest among pitchers) should be considered an elite cash option. His Plus/Minus of +3.6 over the last 12 months additionally qualifies as the highest of this entire slate.

Dallas Keuchel, HOU

The Yankees recorded the seventh-lowest HH% against left-handing pitching last season. Accumulating the least distance traveled by a batted ball over the last 12 months, Keuchel’s immaculate ground-ball percentage of 61% in that span should make him the top cash option if shying away from Syndergaard.

Aaron Sanchez, TOR

Let’s get one thing straight: Sanchez isn’t going to pile on the strikeouts this afternoon (or ever). Though an 11% strikeout percentage difference against right-handed batters — the Rays are projected to deploy four in their lineup today — he’s still averaging the fourth-fewest SO/9 of any pitcher today. Despite being an underdog, however, Sanchez has received the highest percentage of moneyline bets in this slate. Given his shockingly stellar peripherals — highest GB%, lowest fly-ball percentage, lowest HH% — Sanchez remains the only tournament option worthy of a confident dumpster-dive.

C

James McCann / Jarrod Saltalamacchia, DET

Whomever receives the start at catcher for Detroit is the guy you want. While McCann (currently projected to receive the nod) has the highest ISO difference among starting catchers today, Saltalamacchia, for instance, has recorded the highest slugging percentage. Both crushed lefties for a 149 and 164 wRC+ last season, meaning you can’t go wrong with either.

Welington Castillo, ARI

Exposure is mandatory towards Arizona (projected to score a slate-high 5.0 runs) in some way or another, and Castillo is considered one of the cheaper options for that method. Along with the fourth-highest slugging percentage against right-handing pitching (of those available tonight), Castillo is averaging the second-most homeruns per at-bat (0.057) at his position. His hard-hit percentage of 38% also qualifies as second highest among catchers.

1B

Edwin Encarnacion, TOR

Still relatively underpriced at DraftKings (as proven by his Bargain Rating of 70%), note Jake Odorizzi struggled mightily against right-handed batting last season — mightily, as in eight more homeruns allowed despite 22 fewer innings pitched to said handedness. Encarnacion has recorded the highest slugging percentage against right-handers in this slate.

2B

Neil Walker, NYM

With an absurd Bargain Rating of 98% at FanDuel, note Neil Walker’s slate-high ISO difference of .124 among second-basemen. His exit velocity of 92 mph in the past year is also the highest at his position.

Jed Lowrie, OAK

Lowrie qualifies at 3B/SS at DraftKings, but we’re slotting him at 2B since that’s where he’s listed (with a 90% Bargain Rating) at FanDuel. Beyond his price point, however, Lowrie has the highest slugging percentage (against lefties), ISO difference, and average distance traveled by a batted ball among second basemen.

3B

Corey Seager, LAD

It’s easy to go back to him following his two-RBI day, but really, I expect Seager-against-righties to become a thing — think Josh-Donaldson-against-lefties or Paul-Goldschmidt-versus-Tim-Lincecum. Seager, after all, is now producing a .661 slugging percentage against said handedness, accumulating an equivalent exit velocity to (gulp) Kris Bryant. Buy-in at value while you still can.

SS

Brad Miller, TB

With the highest ISO difference at his position, note Miller’s hard-hit percentage of 30% (third highest among shortstops). Though essentially lost when facing left-handed pitching, Miller has recorded a wOBA of .348 against righties. He remains a steal at FanDuel, where he includes a Bargain Rating of 86%.

OF

Curtis Granderson, NYM

Maybe it’s just Mets outfielders that FanDuel has a problem in pricing correctly (as shown by Granderson’s equivalent Bargain Rating to Conforto). Either way, consider his Distance of 230, as well as his line-drive percentage of 26% (both third highest among outfielders) as a lock for cash and/or Mets stacks.

Michael Conforto, NYM

Still absurdly cheap at FanDuel (Bargain Rating of 90%), note Conforto’s whopping ISO difference of .273. With a HH% second only to Giancarlo Stanton (49%/42%) in this slate, Conforto could be argued as an automatic plug-in when opposing right-handed pitching.

Corey Dickerson, TB

Along with the second-highest slugging percentage against right-handed pitching today, Dickerson has also recorded the highest line-drive percentage of any outfielder.

Carlos Gonzalez, COL

With the highest slugging percentage against right-handed pitching at his position, Gonzalez should be considered heavily in tournaments (more so than cash due to Colorado’s moneyline of +138).

David Peralta, ARI

Though a K% of 25.6% against left-handed pitching, Peralta has owned righties for a wOBA of .397. Projected to bat fifth for Arizona tonight, he’s the perfect complement in any Arizona stack.

Two Things I Like Or Don’t Like

That Weather Though

No precipitation threats for today. You heard me: we’re in the clear! Boston is suffering from sub-40 temperatures at first pitch (affecting offense more so than defense), but the sun is still expected to shine throughout (and would be updated early on, anyways).

I’m Sorry, Chad Bettis’ Mother

Paul Goldschmidt-Welington Castillo-David Peralta, oh my …

Good luck!

Being an on-going series, we’re clearly open for suggestions as to how these previews can continue to be the absolute best. It is only the third (second?) day of the season, after all, so now’s as good a time as any to adjust (if need be).

And yes, need be.

Although All Day slates are considered the most important in baseball, Main and Late still do, in fact, exist. Which is why from now on, if a player in the Early Only is considered the top option, I’ll be sure to recommend another player for later. Rejoice, degens.

Let’s get to it.

Pitchers

Noah Syndergaard, NYM

Along with a strikeouts-per-nine rate that trails only Corey Kluber in this entire slate, Syndergaard’s hard-hit percentage of 26% (fourth lowest among pitchers) should be considered an elite cash option. His Plus/Minus of +3.6 over the last 12 months additionally qualifies as the highest of this entire slate.

Dallas Keuchel, HOU

The Yankees recorded the seventh-lowest HH% against left-handing pitching last season. Accumulating the least distance traveled by a batted ball over the last 12 months, Keuchel’s immaculate ground-ball percentage of 61% in that span should make him the top cash option if shying away from Syndergaard.

Aaron Sanchez, TOR

Let’s get one thing straight: Sanchez isn’t going to pile on the strikeouts this afternoon (or ever). Though an 11% strikeout percentage difference against right-handed batters — the Rays are projected to deploy four in their lineup today — he’s still averaging the fourth-fewest SO/9 of any pitcher today. Despite being an underdog, however, Sanchez has received the highest percentage of moneyline bets in this slate. Given his shockingly stellar peripherals — highest GB%, lowest fly-ball percentage, lowest HH% — Sanchez remains the only tournament option worthy of a confident dumpster-dive.

C

James McCann / Jarrod Saltalamacchia, DET

Whomever receives the start at catcher for Detroit is the guy you want. While McCann (currently projected to receive the nod) has the highest ISO difference among starting catchers today, Saltalamacchia, for instance, has recorded the highest slugging percentage. Both crushed lefties for a 149 and 164 wRC+ last season, meaning you can’t go wrong with either.

Welington Castillo, ARI

Exposure is mandatory towards Arizona (projected to score a slate-high 5.0 runs) in some way or another, and Castillo is considered one of the cheaper options for that method. Along with the fourth-highest slugging percentage against right-handing pitching (of those available tonight), Castillo is averaging the second-most homeruns per at-bat (0.057) at his position. His hard-hit percentage of 38% also qualifies as second highest among catchers.

1B

Edwin Encarnacion, TOR

Still relatively underpriced at DraftKings (as proven by his Bargain Rating of 70%), note Jake Odorizzi struggled mightily against right-handed batting last season — mightily, as in eight more homeruns allowed despite 22 fewer innings pitched to said handedness. Encarnacion has recorded the highest slugging percentage against right-handers in this slate.

2B

Neil Walker, NYM

With an absurd Bargain Rating of 98% at FanDuel, note Neil Walker’s slate-high ISO difference of .124 among second-basemen. His exit velocity of 92 mph in the past year is also the highest at his position.

Jed Lowrie, OAK

Lowrie qualifies at 3B/SS at DraftKings, but we’re slotting him at 2B since that’s where he’s listed (with a 90% Bargain Rating) at FanDuel. Beyond his price point, however, Lowrie has the highest slugging percentage (against lefties), ISO difference, and average distance traveled by a batted ball among second basemen.

3B

Corey Seager, LAD

It’s easy to go back to him following his two-RBI day, but really, I expect Seager-against-righties to become a thing — think Josh-Donaldson-against-lefties or Paul-Goldschmidt-versus-Tim-Lincecum. Seager, after all, is now producing a .661 slugging percentage against said handedness, accumulating an equivalent exit velocity to (gulp) Kris Bryant. Buy-in at value while you still can.

SS

Brad Miller, TB

With the highest ISO difference at his position, note Miller’s hard-hit percentage of 30% (third highest among shortstops). Though essentially lost when facing left-handed pitching, Miller has recorded a wOBA of .348 against righties. He remains a steal at FanDuel, where he includes a Bargain Rating of 86%.

OF

Curtis Granderson, NYM

Maybe it’s just Mets outfielders that FanDuel has a problem in pricing correctly (as shown by Granderson’s equivalent Bargain Rating to Conforto). Either way, consider his Distance of 230, as well as his line-drive percentage of 26% (both third highest among outfielders) as a lock for cash and/or Mets stacks.

Michael Conforto, NYM

Still absurdly cheap at FanDuel (Bargain Rating of 90%), note Conforto’s whopping ISO difference of .273. With a HH% second only to Giancarlo Stanton (49%/42%) in this slate, Conforto could be argued as an automatic plug-in when opposing right-handed pitching.

Corey Dickerson, TB

Along with the second-highest slugging percentage against right-handed pitching today, Dickerson has also recorded the highest line-drive percentage of any outfielder.

Carlos Gonzalez, COL

With the highest slugging percentage against right-handed pitching at his position, Gonzalez should be considered heavily in tournaments (more so than cash due to Colorado’s moneyline of +138).

David Peralta, ARI

Though a K% of 25.6% against left-handed pitching, Peralta has owned righties for a wOBA of .397. Projected to bat fifth for Arizona tonight, he’s the perfect complement in any Arizona stack.

Two Things I Like Or Don’t Like

That Weather Though

No precipitation threats for today. You heard me: we’re in the clear! Boston is suffering from sub-40 temperatures at first pitch (affecting offense more so than defense), but the sun is still expected to shine throughout (and would be updated early on, anyways).

I’m Sorry, Chad Bettis’ Mother

Paul Goldschmidt-Welington Castillo-David Peralta, oh my …

Good luck!