Let’s do this.

Pitchers

Francisco Liriano, PIT

Stephen Strasburg and Carlos Carrasco are projected to allow fewer runs, but Liriano’s moneyline percentage of 93% is far and away the highest of his position. Only 39% of pitches thrown in his last start were called for strikes, but his 10.08 SO/9 remains top five today. Note his air time allowed of 2.18 seconds, shortest among pitchers.

Vincent Velasquez, PHI

Velasquez’s 11.08 SO/9 rate qualifies as the highest among pitchers today. His ownership will undoubtedly be high given his most recent 16-K performance, but he leads in all categories that emphasize a cash play — exit velocity, hard-hit percentage, and K%. He includes a Bargain Rating of 75% at FanDuel.

Jaime Garcia, STL

Though another whose ownership will likely be otherworldly, note the Cubs .118 ISO vs. LHP this season. Garcia’s .376 HR/9 over the last 12 months is also the lowest allowed today. Additionally, only Liriano is set to oppose a lineup with a higher-projected K-rate among pitchers priced higher than Garcia himself.

Pitchers to Exploit

Eric Surkamp, OAK

The Yankees have recorded a bottom-three wOBA vs. LHP so far this season, but Surkamp’s slate-high 2.36 HR/9 seems exploitable in cash and tournaments alike. With the wind blowing 11 miles out to right field, it’s a terrific spot for left-handed sluggers, as well — Brian McCann, Mark Teixeira, and Jacoby Ellsbury all apply.

Mike Wright, BAL

Toronto carries more than enough power to dispose of right-handed pitching, particularly in the middle of their lineup — their 2-4 hitters all have a slugging percentage of at least .515 vs. RHP.

C

Buster Posey, SF

Although a slightly lesser exit velocity than a number of those priced lower at his position, Posey’s .515 slugging percentage is third highest. His salary has also inexplicably dropped $300 since his last outing at DraftKings.

1B

Edwin Encarnacion, TOR

Encarnacion, who’s expected to bat cleanup for a Blue Jays team projected to score the most runs tonight, includes a Bargain Rating of 82% at FanDuel. His .291 ISO vs. RHP trails only Tyler White, Chris Davis, and Ryan Zimmerman at his position.

Paul Goldschmidt, ARZ

Allowing 1.66 HR/9 over the past year, Matt Cain now has the responsibility of pitching to Paul Goldschmidt, who’s slugging .550 vs. RHP. The wind in San Francisco is also blowing out at the moment, making an already-tall task even more improbable.

2B

Jean Segura, ARZ

Segura has only minuscule wOBA and ISO Differentials vs. RHP (.002/.005), but no second basemen with double-digit starts has accumulated a Distance Differential further this season. Leading off against Cain, Segura’s .181 steals per game are considered third highest at his position.

3B

Alex Rodriguez, NYY

The wind blowing out to right in New York doesn’t particularly help Rodriguez (who bats right-handed), but he remains a steal at FanDuel nonetheless — note his Bargain Rating of 90%. Additionally, while Surkamp has allowed the most HR/9 in this slate, Rodriguez quietly has an ISO of .258.

Travis Shaw, BOS

Slugging .607 vs. LHP, only Matt Carpenter and Nick Castellanos have accumulated a higher batted-ball distance than Shaw this season. His .286 trails only Nolan Arenado among third basemen.

SS

Manny Machado, BAL

Qualifying at shortstop for whatever reason at DraftKings, Machado’s wOBA, ISO, and steals all rank in the top eight at that particular position. His outstanding wOBA and ISO Differentials of .082/.084 scream cash.

OF

Corey Dickerson, TB

Slugging .605 vs. RHP, note Dickerson’s standout wOBA and ISO Differentials of .150/.224. Batting cleanup for the Rays, he’s considered an elite cash option across sites.

Jose Bautista, TOR

Bautista is considered the pivotal piece if stacking Toronto. His HH%, for instance, leads all outfielders with at least nine starts. Given Wright’s propensity to allow the long-ball, Bautista’s slate-high 12 Pro Trends might even be considered the value of the day.

Nomar Mazara, TEX

The Rangers’ 4.6 projected runs today are second only to Minnesota and Toronto. His slugging percentage of .700 vs. RHP is also third highest at his position.

Weather Watch

Despite having only a 45% chance of precipitation in St. Louis, Cubs-Cardinals is on the lookout for scattered thunderstorms practically all day. We should know well before first pitch whether or not this game sticks around long enough to be played.

Good luck!