GOLF

Mexico Open: Top PGA DFS Picks, Values, and Sleepers for Large-Field GPPs on DraftKings

The PGA TOUR moves further down the West Coast from Torrey Pines to Vidanta Vallarta for this week’s Mexico Open at VidantaWorld. After Ludvig Aberg beat a limited but elite field for his win at the Genesis Invitational last week, the field this week looks very different as many of the top golfers in the world pass on this event and will rejoin the PGA TOUR in Florida over the next few weeks. This is a full-field event, so it gives lots of players on the fringes of the PGA TOUR a chance to step up and post a high finish. Even without the big names, it should be a great week of golf with a whole new cast of characters to consider for your fantasy golf lineup.

This will be the fourth straight year the Mexico Open has been held at VidantaWorld’s Vidanta Vallarta course, and in past year’s the course has allowed long hitters to post very low scores. For more info on the field, the course, the weather, and some key stats, check out this First Look from RotoGrinders.

The focus of this post is strong GPP options who have lower ownership projections than their potential performance.  Finding high-leverage plays is critical for GPP success, so the picks here go against the grain, looking for under-owned options.

All Strokes Gained metrics referenced are from the Rabbit Hole.

Usually, I rely heavily on the Stroked Gained Model in FantasyLabs, which is very predictive of results. I also tend to lean toward players who excel in Strokes Gained: Approach, which is more sustainable week-to-week than a hot putter.

Since these are GPP picks, we can accept more risk in exchange for getting a higher ceiling. High-risk, high-reward options with low ownership create the “boom-or-bust” style lineups that often lead to large-field success. To find guidance for all contest types, check out our full Daily Fantasy Golf coverage each week.

No matter what type of format you prefer, be sure to use the FantasyLabs PGA Models to help you make the best choices. These models use stats and simulations to highlight different players’ strengths and weaknesses. A few critical new stats for GPP play are Perfect% and SimLeverage, which are further explained here.

As you dig into the numbers, you can enjoy the many tools FantasyLabs offers, including the Lineup Optimizer, which effortlessly creates up to 300 lineups. Alternatively, you can use the Lineup Builder if you prefer a more hands-on approach.

Check out my top picks in each price range listed below.

Editor’s note: SimLeverage and Perfect% numbers may change after this piece is published. Be sure to check the PGA Models for any updates to the sims.

Become an All-Access Member Today

Lineup builder and optimizer

Real-time DFS models & projections

Data-driven analysis & tutorials
Become a PRO Member

High-Priced PGA DFS Picks

Note: FantasyLabs has partnered with Betsperts Golf and the Rabbit Hole! Sign up for the biggest database of golf stats available on the internet and get 25% off a yearly sub with our link! 

Unless otherwise noted, all Strokes Gained metrics referenced in this article come via the Rabbit Hole.

Tool Highlights

  • Build unlimited custom stat models with official PGA TOUR data.
  • Hundreds of filters to find the exact data split you’re looking for.
  • Save custom reports and run them again with next week’s field.
  • Download anything right to your computer with the click of a button.
  • See expert models each week.

Harry Hall $9,300

The two most expensive players this week sit at the top of most categories in the projections, so both Akshay Bhatia and Kurt Kitayama are strong considerations. However, their ownership projections are both over 25%, so we’ll focus elsewhere in this post even though both are good plays in cash lineups (find more cash game picks from my colleague Alex Hunter). For GPP and tournament play, Harry Hall is a strong pivot to consider with an ownership projection under 15%.

Hall has the fourth-highest ceiling, median and floor projections in the field and the fourth-highest Perfect%. His low ownership gives him the third-highest SimLeverage in the field and the highest of any golfer over $8,000.

Hall has played the Mexico Open in each of the past two years, finishing T10 in 2023 and T33 last year. The 27-year-old from England has been on an impressive run since last June, making the cut in nine of his last 10 PGA TOUR events in 2024 and four of his first five events in 2025. He exceeded salary-based expectations in 15 of 17 tournaments during that run, including picking up his first PGA TOUR victory at the ISCO Championship last July and posting an impressive total of 11 top-25 finishes.

Over his last 30 rounds, Hall leads the field in Total Strokes Gained and has been especially sharp with his putter and short game.

He missed the cut at the WM Phoenix Open and finished just T58 at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am, so his short-term form isn’t quite as strong, which is why his ownership is so much lower than the most popular plays. However, he definitely has the potential to win this week, and his strong track record here makes him a great bounce-back candidate to target at his low ownership projection.

Beau Hossler $9,100

While I really like Sam Stevens, Aaron Rai, and Michael Kim in the $9,000s as well, Hossler is another great play with a very low ownership projection of just over 10%. Hossler has the sixth-highest SimLeverage in the whole field and the second-highest of the plays over $9,000, behind only Hall.

Hossler typically excels off the tee and on the green, which should set him up for success on this layout. He finished T10 with Hall in 2023 in his only previous appearance at this event. Hossler ranks in the top 12 in Total Strokes Gained in the field over the last 30 rounds and has been very good around and on the greens.

Like Hall, he comes in with good momentum having exceeded salary-based expectations in eight of his last nine events. That run dates back to last fall when he finished runner-up at the Sanderson Farms Championship. He already has two top-15 finishes in 2025 as well at The American Express and the Farmers Insurance Open. He took last week off after a T32 in Phoenix.

This week, Hossler’s salary and low ownership projection make him a very strong option for GPPs. His median, ceiling, and floor projections rank in the top seven, and his Perfect% is in the top 10, so getting him at just over $9,000 looks like a great way to save salary and still get good upside.

Now available: our PGA DFS SimLabs Lineup Generator that creates advanced DFS lineups using the power of simulation.

Mid-Priced PGA DFS Picks

YOU MAY ALSO LIKE

Shriners Children’s Open Top PGA DFS Picks, Values and Sleepers for Large-Field GPPs PGA DFS: Top Cash Game Picks for the Butterfield Bermuda Championship World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba Top PGA DFS Picks, Values and Sleepers for Large-Field GPPs on DraftKings PGA DFS: Top Cash Game Picks and Conviction Plays for the American Express

The PGA TOUR moves further down the West Coast from Torrey Pines to Vidanta Vallarta for this week’s Mexico Open at VidantaWorld. After Ludvig Aberg beat a limited but elite field for his win at the Genesis Invitational last week, the field this week looks very different as many of the top golfers in the world pass on this event and will rejoin the PGA TOUR in Florida over the next few weeks. This is a full-field event, so it gives lots of players on the fringes of the PGA TOUR a chance to step up and post a high finish. Even without the big names, it should be a great week of golf with a whole new cast of characters to consider for your fantasy golf lineup.

This will be the fourth straight year the Mexico Open has been held at VidantaWorld’s Vidanta Vallarta course, and in past year’s the course has allowed long hitters to post very low scores. For more info on the field, the course, the weather, and some key stats, check out this First Look from RotoGrinders.

The focus of this post is strong GPP options who have lower ownership projections than their potential performance.  Finding high-leverage plays is critical for GPP success, so the picks here go against the grain, looking for under-owned options.

All Strokes Gained metrics referenced are from the Rabbit Hole.

Usually, I rely heavily on the Stroked Gained Model in FantasyLabs, which is very predictive of results. I also tend to lean toward players who excel in Strokes Gained: Approach, which is more sustainable week-to-week than a hot putter.

Since these are GPP picks, we can accept more risk in exchange for getting a higher ceiling. High-risk, high-reward options with low ownership create the “boom-or-bust” style lineups that often lead to large-field success. To find guidance for all contest types, check out our full Daily Fantasy Golf coverage each week.

No matter what type of format you prefer, be sure to use the FantasyLabs PGA Models to help you make the best choices. These models use stats and simulations to highlight different players’ strengths and weaknesses. A few critical new stats for GPP play are Perfect% and SimLeverage, which are further explained here.

As you dig into the numbers, you can enjoy the many tools FantasyLabs offers, including the Lineup Optimizer, which effortlessly creates up to 300 lineups. Alternatively, you can use the Lineup Builder if you prefer a more hands-on approach.

Check out my top picks in each price range listed below.

Editor’s note: SimLeverage and Perfect% numbers may change after this piece is published. Be sure to check the PGA Models for any updates to the sims.

Become an All-Access Member Today

Lineup builder and optimizer

Real-time DFS models & projections

Data-driven analysis & tutorials
Become a PRO Member

High-Priced PGA DFS Picks

Note: FantasyLabs has partnered with Betsperts Golf and the Rabbit Hole! Sign up for the biggest database of golf stats available on the internet and get 25% off a yearly sub with our link! 

Unless otherwise noted, all Strokes Gained metrics referenced in this article come via the Rabbit Hole.

Tool Highlights

  • Build unlimited custom stat models with official PGA TOUR data.
  • Hundreds of filters to find the exact data split you’re looking for.
  • Save custom reports and run them again with next week’s field.
  • Download anything right to your computer with the click of a button.
  • See expert models each week.

Harry Hall $9,300

The two most expensive players this week sit at the top of most categories in the projections, so both Akshay Bhatia and Kurt Kitayama are strong considerations. However, their ownership projections are both over 25%, so we’ll focus elsewhere in this post even though both are good plays in cash lineups (find more cash game picks from my colleague Alex Hunter). For GPP and tournament play, Harry Hall is a strong pivot to consider with an ownership projection under 15%.

Hall has the fourth-highest ceiling, median and floor projections in the field and the fourth-highest Perfect%. His low ownership gives him the third-highest SimLeverage in the field and the highest of any golfer over $8,000.

Hall has played the Mexico Open in each of the past two years, finishing T10 in 2023 and T33 last year. The 27-year-old from England has been on an impressive run since last June, making the cut in nine of his last 10 PGA TOUR events in 2024 and four of his first five events in 2025. He exceeded salary-based expectations in 15 of 17 tournaments during that run, including picking up his first PGA TOUR victory at the ISCO Championship last July and posting an impressive total of 11 top-25 finishes.

Over his last 30 rounds, Hall leads the field in Total Strokes Gained and has been especially sharp with his putter and short game.

He missed the cut at the WM Phoenix Open and finished just T58 at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am, so his short-term form isn’t quite as strong, which is why his ownership is so much lower than the most popular plays. However, he definitely has the potential to win this week, and his strong track record here makes him a great bounce-back candidate to target at his low ownership projection.

Beau Hossler $9,100

While I really like Sam Stevens, Aaron Rai, and Michael Kim in the $9,000s as well, Hossler is another great play with a very low ownership projection of just over 10%. Hossler has the sixth-highest SimLeverage in the whole field and the second-highest of the plays over $9,000, behind only Hall.

Hossler typically excels off the tee and on the green, which should set him up for success on this layout. He finished T10 with Hall in 2023 in his only previous appearance at this event. Hossler ranks in the top 12 in Total Strokes Gained in the field over the last 30 rounds and has been very good around and on the greens.

Like Hall, he comes in with good momentum having exceeded salary-based expectations in eight of his last nine events. That run dates back to last fall when he finished runner-up at the Sanderson Farms Championship. He already has two top-15 finishes in 2025 as well at The American Express and the Farmers Insurance Open. He took last week off after a T32 in Phoenix.

This week, Hossler’s salary and low ownership projection make him a very strong option for GPPs. His median, ceiling, and floor projections rank in the top seven, and his Perfect% is in the top 10, so getting him at just over $9,000 looks like a great way to save salary and still get good upside.

Now available: our PGA DFS SimLabs Lineup Generator that creates advanced DFS lineups using the power of simulation.

Mid-Priced PGA DFS Picks

YOU MAY ALSO LIKE

Shriners Children’s Open Top PGA DFS Picks, Values and Sleepers for Large-Field GPPs PGA DFS: Top Cash Game Picks for the Butterfield Bermuda Championship World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba Top PGA DFS Picks, Values and Sleepers for Large-Field GPPs on DraftKings PGA DFS: Top Cash Game Picks and Conviction Plays for the American Express

About the Author

Zach Thompson writes NBA, MLB, NFL, golf and soccer content for Fantasy Labs. Zach's fantasy experience dates all the way back to high school when he would manually tabulate fantasy football scores using Tuesday morning's newspaper. Even though he was raised on the island of Guam on the opposite side of the world, Zach is a hardcore Boston sports fan who loves playing fantasy sports in almost any format. He's always in search of a great bargain play and keeps a close eye out for rising talent that can provide leverage. Zach joined the FantasyLabs team in 2022 and is also a contributor for DraftKings Network.