Here’s a breakdown of one-game DFS contests for the Week 6 Thursday Night Football matchup featuring the New York Giants at New England Patriots at 8:20 p.m. ET on FOX and NFL Network.
Cash Game Strategy
Tom Brady leads the way in floor, median and ceiling projection in our DraftKings Showdown Models. This is a smash spot for the Patriots against a Giants team that is without Saquon Barkley (ankle), Evan Engram (knee), Sterling Shepard (concussion), and Wayne Gallman (neck), so I would prioritize getting Patriots in over Daniel Jones and Jon Hilliman. Opposing quarterbacks are averaging 191.8 passing yards, 0.0 TDs, and 2.2 interceptions against the Pats, faring only slightly better on the ground (10.6 yards, 0.2 TDs).
As such, Patriots DST has been one of the highest-floor plays in fantasy this season:
- Week 1 vs. PIT: 10.0 DK points
- Week 2 at MIA: 37.0 DK points
- Week 3 vs. NYJ: 14.0 DK points
- Week 4 at BUF: 25.0 DK points
- Week 5 vs. WAS: 14.0 DK points
Brady and the Pats defense fit along with Julian Edelman — who has the second-highest median projection on the slate as he goes against exploitable nickel corner Grant Haley — as well as Sony Michel and Mike Nugent if you punt the last spot with Giants’ No. 2 running back Elijhaa Penny.
Over the past year, the Pats D has been negatively correlated with every offensive position at -0.27 or stronger except RB2 (+0.02), making Penny the safest way to fulfill your one-Giant requirement without wasting roster slots. Penny played 24-of-68 snaps last week and is the only other healthy running back on the roster.
On FanDuel, Brady, Edelman, Michel, and Josh Gordon fit along with Golden Tate, giving you the four highest projected Patriots and the highest projected Giants skill player. The two highest yardage totals allowed to opposing wide receivers by New England came by way of JuJu Smith-Schuster (6-78-0 in Week 1) and Cole Beasley (7-75-0 in Week 4), both of whom primarily play in the slot.
This morning on The Action Network on Sirius XM Fantasy Radio, Jason Sobel and I spoke with Giants beat writer Art Stapleton, who told us not be surprised if Penny finishes with more production than Hilliman due to Penny’s familiarity with Shurmur’s system, particularly in pass protection. Penny has played 19 games and 123 offensive snaps for the Giants under Shurmur, catching 9-of-10 passes for 59 yards along with 15 carries for 55 yards.
Core GPP Plays
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