Monkey Knife Fight takes a new spin on daily fantasy, combining player props and parlays. With exciting contest structures, put your football knowledge to the test and pit player performances against one another.
Check out a few picks to consider in this exciting format for Week 11 with the help of our NFL Player Props Tool.
More or Less 2/2
Derek Carr Passing Yards (280.5) vs. Joe Burrow Passing Yards (265.5)
Week 11’s matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders and Cincinnati Bengals looks to have shootout potential, opening at a 50.5-point total.
Derek Carr has a prime matchup against a Cincinnati Bengals defense ranked 21st in DVOA (per Football Outsiders). Las Vegas is one of the more pass-friendly offenses in the league, calling a 64%/36% pass-to-run split. Dating back to last season, Carr has reached the 281-passing yard threshold 14 times. However, the Raiders are one of the slower-paced teams in the league, calling a play every 26.9 seconds and should increase possession using running back Josh Jacobs in a clock-killing situation, which may limit Carr’s opportunities.
Carr projects to throw for 275.5 yards against the Bengals, likely hitting the under.
Like his Raiders’ counterpart, Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow prefers a more pass-first approach, using a 59%/41% pass-to-run ratio. The Raiders rank 22nd in DVOA and may have a tough time limiting Burrow, who has averaged 277.4 yards through the air per game. Burrow looks to wide receivers Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins as primary options, combining for 50% of the Bengals’ target share. With the duo combining for more than nine yards per target and potential big-play ability, the second-year quarterback has an easy path to success. Dating back to last season, Burrow has reached the 266-passing yard mark 10 times.
We’re projecting Burrow to throw for 282.5-passing yards, which trends him toward the over.
The Pick: Derek Carr Less 280.5 passing yards, Joe Burrow More 265.5 passing yards
More or Less 2/2
Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards (270.5) vs. Kirk Cousins Passing Yards (265.5)
The NFC North matchup between the Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings has two of the top-ranked defensive teams squaring off.
Packers’ quarterback Aaron Rodgers is still one of the more dominant quarterbacks in the league, completing 66% of his passes, averaging 11.2 yards per competition. However, Rodgers should have a challenging time moving the ball through the air, facing a Vikings defense ranked sixth in pass DVOA, despite having a high-powered option in Davante Adams at wide receiver.
Dating back to last season, Rodgers has reached the 271-passing yard mark 13 times. Our models project Rodgers to throw for 256.5-passing yards, trending him toward the under in this classic NFC North matchup.
Facing a Packers’ defense ranked eighth in pass DVOA could signal a tough outing for Minnesota Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins. Using a 59%/41% pass-to-run play calling ratio, Cousins looks for his primary targets in Adam Thielen and Justin Jefferson, who combine for more than 46% of the Vikings’ targets, averaging more than eight yards per target.
Dating back to last season, Cousins has reached the 266-passing yard threshold 13 times but may be limited by Rodgers and the Packers’ slow-paced offense, averaging 29.3 seconds per play, which is the slowest in the league.
We’re projecting Cousins to throw for 261.5-passing yards, slightly moving him toward hitting the under.
The Pick: Aaron Rodgers Less 270.5 passing yards, Kirk Cousins Less 265.5 passing yards
