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Farmers Insurance Open PGA DFS Stats Preview: Course Fits, GPP Picks, and Values

The PGA TOUR season ramps up this week as we head to historic Torrey Pines Golf Club for the 2022 Farmers Insurance Open.

I personally consider this event the true start of the PGA TOUR season as it draws big names, a loaded prize pool, and a difficult test, something many golf fans have been craving.

Torrey Pines Golf Club (South) is a Par 72 measuring 7,569 yards. Golfers will play three rounds on the South Course and one round on the North Course.

The South Course is the far more difficult of the two and features Poa annua greens. The North Course is 7,258 yards and features Bentgrass greens.

The 2022 Farmers Insurance Open field is a full-field event comprised of 156 golfers. The field is very strong and will include Jon Rahm, Dustin Johnson, Xander Schauffele, Brooks Koepka, Justin Thomas, Bryson DeChambeau, and Tony Finau.

For GPP contests on DraftKings, I will be breaking down the key stats (past 24 rounds) and selecting golfers from different price tiers to provide flexibility for a DFS lineup.

For large-field tournaments, you can utilize our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your lineups.

Don’t forget about the other tools that FantasyLabs has to offer, such as the Trends tool and PGA Correlation Dashboard.

This analysis may reference Strokes Gained, a set of proprietary metrics generated by the PGA TOUR using millions of data points to calculate how many shots on average it takes a player to get the ball in the hole from every distance and situation. Strokes Gained is now available in the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

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Strokes Gained: Approach

Hitting greens will be important due to the difficult around the green areas at Torrey Pines. Strokes Gained: Approach has been the most indicative statistic of top 10 finishers at the course historically.

  • High-end target: Jon Rahm – $11,200 (5th SG:APP)
  • Mid-range target: Tony Finau – $9,100 (12th SG: APP)
  • Value target: Hudson Swafford – $6,900 (14th SG: APP)

Driving Distance

Torrey Pines is a long course, and distance will absolutely be a major factor. Average driving distance is far greater here than your average TOUR event while driving accuracy is far lower. We are most definitely looking at a bomber’s track this week.

  • High-end target: Bryson DeChambeau – $9,900 (1st Driving Distance)
  • Mid-range target: Matthew Wolff – $8,500 (2nd Driving Distance)
  • Value target: Taylor Pendrith – $6,800 (6th Driving Distance)

Strokes Gained: Putting (Poa)

We typically see a lot of golfers play well in this area year after year. One determining factor in the consistent results is whether or not golfers prefer the Poa out West to other surfaces.

Great Poa putters typically play very well in California.

  • High-end target: Bryson DeChambeau – $9,900 (6th Strokes Gained: Putting Poa)
  • Mid-range target: Brandt Snedeker – $7,400 (4th Strokes Gained: Putting Poa)
  • Value target: Jonas Blixt – $6,000 (1st Strokes Gained: Putting Poa)

Par 4: 450-500 Yards

Torrey Pines has a total of six par 4s between 450 and 500 yards on the South Course. To play well this week, golfers will need to outplay the field on these particular holes.

  • High-end target: Jon Rahm  $11,200 (3rdPar 4: 450-500 Yards)
  • Mid-range target: Matthew Wolff – $8,000 (7th Par 4: 450-500 Yards)
  • Value target: Pat Perez – $6,500 (5th Par 4: 450-500 Yards)

Par 5: 550-600 Yards

With all four par 5s at the Torrey Pines South Course measuring between 550 and 600 yards, the long hitters will have a major advantage. The course can be relatively difficult, so it’s an absolute must to take care of the par 5s and make birdies.

  • High-end target: Bryson DeChambeau – $9,900 (1st Par 5: 550-600 Yards)
  • Mid-range target: Matthew Wolff – $8,500 (5th Par 5: 550-600 Yards)
  • Value target: Tom Hoge – $7,500 (2nd Par 5: 550-600 Yards)
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The PGA TOUR season ramps up this week as we head to historic Torrey Pines Golf Club for the 2022 Farmers Insurance Open.

I personally consider this event the true start of the PGA TOUR season as it draws big names, a loaded prize pool, and a difficult test, something many golf fans have been craving.

Torrey Pines Golf Club (South) is a Par 72 measuring 7,569 yards. Golfers will play three rounds on the South Course and one round on the North Course.

The South Course is the far more difficult of the two and features Poa annua greens. The North Course is 7,258 yards and features Bentgrass greens.

The 2022 Farmers Insurance Open field is a full-field event comprised of 156 golfers. The field is very strong and will include Jon Rahm, Dustin Johnson, Xander Schauffele, Brooks Koepka, Justin Thomas, Bryson DeChambeau, and Tony Finau.

For GPP contests on DraftKings, I will be breaking down the key stats (past 24 rounds) and selecting golfers from different price tiers to provide flexibility for a DFS lineup.

For large-field tournaments, you can utilize our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your lineups.

Don’t forget about the other tools that FantasyLabs has to offer, such as the Trends tool and PGA Correlation Dashboard.

This analysis may reference Strokes Gained, a set of proprietary metrics generated by the PGA TOUR using millions of data points to calculate how many shots on average it takes a player to get the ball in the hole from every distance and situation. Strokes Gained is now available in the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

Start Your PRO Trial Today

Lineup builder and optimizer

Real-time DFS models

Data-driven analysis & tutorials

Strokes Gained: Approach

Hitting greens will be important due to the difficult around the green areas at Torrey Pines. Strokes Gained: Approach has been the most indicative statistic of top 10 finishers at the course historically.

  • High-end target: Jon Rahm – $11,200 (5th SG:APP)
  • Mid-range target: Tony Finau – $9,100 (12th SG: APP)
  • Value target: Hudson Swafford – $6,900 (14th SG: APP)

Driving Distance

Torrey Pines is a long course, and distance will absolutely be a major factor. Average driving distance is far greater here than your average TOUR event while driving accuracy is far lower. We are most definitely looking at a bomber’s track this week.

  • High-end target: Bryson DeChambeau – $9,900 (1st Driving Distance)
  • Mid-range target: Matthew Wolff – $8,500 (2nd Driving Distance)
  • Value target: Taylor Pendrith – $6,800 (6th Driving Distance)

Strokes Gained: Putting (Poa)

We typically see a lot of golfers play well in this area year after year. One determining factor in the consistent results is whether or not golfers prefer the Poa out West to other surfaces.

Great Poa putters typically play very well in California.

  • High-end target: Bryson DeChambeau – $9,900 (6th Strokes Gained: Putting Poa)
  • Mid-range target: Brandt Snedeker – $7,400 (4th Strokes Gained: Putting Poa)
  • Value target: Jonas Blixt – $6,000 (1st Strokes Gained: Putting Poa)

Par 4: 450-500 Yards

Torrey Pines has a total of six par 4s between 450 and 500 yards on the South Course. To play well this week, golfers will need to outplay the field on these particular holes.

  • High-end target: Jon Rahm  $11,200 (3rdPar 4: 450-500 Yards)
  • Mid-range target: Matthew Wolff – $8,000 (7th Par 4: 450-500 Yards)
  • Value target: Pat Perez – $6,500 (5th Par 4: 450-500 Yards)

Par 5: 550-600 Yards

With all four par 5s at the Torrey Pines South Course measuring between 550 and 600 yards, the long hitters will have a major advantage. The course can be relatively difficult, so it’s an absolute must to take care of the par 5s and make birdies.

  • High-end target: Bryson DeChambeau – $9,900 (1st Par 5: 550-600 Yards)
  • Mid-range target: Matthew Wolff – $8,500 (5th Par 5: 550-600 Yards)
  • Value target: Tom Hoge – $7,500 (2nd Par 5: 550-600 Yards)
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About the Author

Matt Vincenzi has been writing about golf betting and DFS for four years and has a masters degree in education. He’s been a guest on ESPN radio and Fox Sports radio to discuss golf betting.