DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks for Kansas: Fantasy NASCAR Strategy and Picks for the Hollywood Casino 400

Kansas plays host to the second race of the 2023 NASCAR Cup Series playoffs.

Teams and drivers visited the 1.5-mile track earlier this year in arguably the most exciting race of the season to date. Kansas is your classic intermediate track, with medium-high tire wear. Las Vegas Motor Speedway is the closest comparable track to Kansas, giving us a solid set of races to look at in the Next Gen era.

There was also a 20-minute practice session that drivers could take advantage of, so we’ll roll all that data up together to make the best possible NASCAR DFS decisions for Kansas.

Before we jump into my picks, don’t forget all my NASCAR projections can be found in the NASCAR Models on FantasyLabs, complete with floor, ceiling, median, and ownership projections.

Let’s not skip the best part — my Perfect% metric — a metric that tells you how often certain racers appear in the optimal lineup when running 10,000 race simulations.

And don’t forget about the tools that FantasyLabs has to offer, like our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 300 lineups, or our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your lineups.

Here are my NASCAR DFS picks for Sunday’s Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway.

 

Kansas DraftKings DFS Cash Game Picks

Martin Truex, Jr. ($10,700): Truex looked like the consensus car to beat in practice, and my model backs that up, as it gives him the highest probability of taking home the win Sunday.

My projections also give Truex the highest chance of any driver to grab the all important dominator points, as he starts third behind teammate Christopher Bell and last week’s winner Kyle Larson.

Look for Truex and Larson to be the two most likely dominators on Sunday.

Truex trails Larson in their laps-led lines on PrizePicks, however, with his 38.5 laps led compared to Larson’s 62.5. Be sure to check out all the pick’ems PrizePicks has to offer with PrizePicks promo code LABS for a $100 deposit match.

Kyle Busch ($9600): Kyle Busch wrecked in practice and thus did not get to turn a qualifying lap. As a result, he’ll roll off 35th on the grid.

With so much place-differential potential, Rowdy should easily move forward through the field, as he posted top-10 lap times in practice.

Ty Gibbs ($7600): Similarly, Ty Gibbs is a lock in cash games starting shotgun on the field in 36th after cutting a tire in practice and smacking the wall.

Gibbs actually posted top-five lap times throughout practice, even on the long run. He’ll be a contender for a top-five finish if he has a clean race.

Kansas DraftKings DFS Tournament Picks

William Byron ($10,200): Byron finished third at Kansas earlier this year and won at Las Vegas, giving him two stellar performances at this track type and on this tire combination.

Byron was quick in practice without even running near the wall, which is typically the fastest way around the track. That means his pace could pick up even more come race day, as he seems to be solid all over the track.

Byron rolls off ninth, giving him eight spots of place differential available to him. That’s an added bonus to possible dominator points if he’s able to reach the front.

Chase Briscoe ($6600): Briscoe’s team looks to have finally sorted things out with the intermediate package. Earlier this year he was outside the top 30 in speed at every single intermediate race.

However, last week he was 22nd in speed at Darlington, and he looks to be even better after Saturday’s practice session here at Kansas.

Briscoe clocked the 12th-best, five-lap average and 11th-best, 10-lap average. That’s enough to solidly move forward from his 26th-place starting spot, especially if people are writing him off based off his awful performances earlier this year at this track type.

Carson Hocevar ($6400): Hocevar’s teammate Erik Jones was quick in practice, turning in the eighth-best, five-lap average.

Hocevar himself wasn’t quite as fast, running near the middle of the pack for his five-lap average. However, that should keep his usage down.

This is arguably Hocevar’s best track type, as he’s contended for wins at every 1.5-mile track the Truck Series has visited.