Below is an in-depth online DFS strategy conversation between Peter Jennings and Jonathan Bales about the NFL Week 17 slate.
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peter.jennings [9:22 AM] yo, how you feeling about the slate?
jonathan.bales [9:24 AM]
week 17 always reminds me of preseason
a levi special
peter.jennings [9:24 AM]
yes, the best type of slate
How are you handling Mahomes in GPP?
He will be the chalkiest QB of the year
jonathan.bales [9:26 AM]
yeah I will be underweight for sure
I always have most exposure to chalk QBs when their receivers (and obvious stacks) are also good plays
only like kelce there
obviously you could try to have them around their ownership to neutralize but I tend to prefer to just over-stack those situations in one lineup (but don’t like that here really)
will have him on DK when I have him…much better value there relative to the pricing structures
what do you think?
peter.jennings [9:28 AM]
the toughest part about the slate is there isnt much to spend up on outside of WR and TE
so a ton of similar roster constructions
My favorite gpp plays are in the Rams/SF game
thats the best game to stack
Ill be all in on KC in cash
jonathan.bales [9:39 AM]
yeah, spending is tough…I’m a little worried about weather in GB too. top two QBs in my model are mahomes and rodgers rn
not super cold but freezing temps and also windy
and second game vs division opp
rodgers has been good when cold though
10 games in freezing temps, average of +3.33 plus/minus, has surpassed salary-based implied points 70% of time
both slightly better than overall
jonathan.bales [9:49 AM] also, probably a decent week to not fill up the cap. assume most guys still will and like you said, it leads to the same types of constructions
peter.jennings [9:49 AM]
totally agree on that
AB news is interesting
jonathan.bales [9:51 AM]
yeah I’m just assuming he’s not playing
who do you like most at RB in gpps
peter.jennings [9:53 AM]
Damian Williams for me is my fav
Sony Michel is nice on FD
White could be nice on DK
Mcguire
jonathan.bales [9:57 AM]
nice
i like rod smith now with zeke out
peter.jennings [9:57 AM] yeah, hes really nice on FD at stone minimum
jonathan.bales [9:57 AM] yeah FD for sure
jonathan.bales [10:05 AM]
who are some guys on teams that are out that you like
i like julio a lot rn opp TB stacks
peter.jennings [10:09 AM]
I ilke Evans in that same game
curious if Julio will play a normal amount of snaps
jonathan.bales [10:10 AM] yeah for sure, he might not, just like him if he’s gonna be 5% in tournaments
peter.jennings [10:10 AM]
Giants mega chalk in cash for defense
I like being contrarian there
nice pivot off mahomes is williams/Chiefs D
jonathan.bales [10:12 AM]
yeah I agree with that
who do you like at TE outside of kelce
peter.jennings [10:15 AM]
obvious ones are kittle and ertz
ertz prob best pivot at high end
I like Gronk/Engram mid range
and then Herndon
Uzomah is nice to run it back with on Pitt stacks
jonathan.bales [10:24 AM] yeah I like ertz a lot
peter.jennings [10:24 AM]
wow, AB could play and Conner could miss. Both have to prove it in warmups
Jaylen samuels good play either way
jonathan.bales [10:24 AM]
yeah samuels is auto if conner out obv
back to lineups, glgl today
peter.jennings [10:25 AM] GL bro!