For the third straight slate, Natus Vincere is listed as an overwhelming favorite of -500 or better, but they’re not alone on Friday with FaZe Clan, Virtus.pro, and mousesports also heavily favored. In fact, the only match on the slate that the betting markets are currently expecting to be competitive is a clash between pro100 and Espada, the world’s No. 42 and 54 ranked teams.
CS:GO DFS Notes for Friday, May 8
DraftKings
- The first decision point on Friday’s slate will be whether or not to roster s1mple, who has been on an absolute tear for Natus Vincere of late. There’s always an argument to be made in favor of fading a player costing more than $10,000, but those who have tried this approach recently have been punished as s1mple has racked up 159 kills against 81 deaths over the past week.
- There’s no shortage of top options on Friday with NiKo and Jame also popping on the high end. If fading s1mple, it makes sense to include one of these high-kill share players from the heavily-favored teams as pivot options.
- Of course, that means we need to find value somewhere, and Dima of Espada looks like the best candidate. Priced at only $4,800, Dima sports below-average, but acceptable, market share numbers in both kills and deaths. Dima was priced at $7,000 in Espada’s last match against Hard Legion in a similar game environment. He performed admirably in that match with 28 kills against 20 deaths, so it’s hard to explain the $2,200 price drop. Just be careful not to mistakenly click the similarly named “dimasick” from the same contest:
- It also makes some sense to give flamie of Natus Vincere a look in hopes he can build on his impressive 88-point performance on Wednesday. Kills are hard to come by when playing alongside s1mple, but the game environment and price point are both positives for flamie.
- As mentioned in the intro, the pro100/Espada matchup is the only one that is expected to be competitive on Friday’s main slate, and that could lead to players from that game going under-owned in DFS. If that’s the case, this could be a good time to buy YEKINDAR, who has the third-highest kill share on the slate. The same applies to degster, but to a lesser extent since he is more expensive than YEKINDAR and comes with a lower kill share.
FanDuel
- On FanDuel, s1mple is priced too closely to the rest of the field, where he is only $200 more expensive than the next play — compared to DraftKings, where he outpaces the field by $800 — making him close to a must-have.
- The pricing on FaZe Clan is interesting, where coldzera is the most expensive player, and $600 more expensive than NiKo despite having a lower kill share. There’s no disputing that coldzera has been excellent lately, but it would be a mistake to overlook NiKo here.
