Saturday’s slate brings us three lopsided matches with Liquid, FURIA, and Envy all listed as favorites of -375 or better against MIBR, Bad News Bears, and YeaH Gaming.
CS:GO Notes for Saturday, April 25
- In single entry formats, HEN1 looks like the best option for the captain slot, as he leads the slate in both kill share (24.4%) and death share (16.5%). HEN1 has more kills than deaths in each of FURIA’s last four games, a trend that should continue on Saturday with the team from Brazil listed as a -450 favorite. All things considered, he’s under-priced as the fourth-most expensive player on the slate at $9,000.
- For the most part, players from the three favored teams have been priced up accordingly, but there are still some value plays to sift through. The cheapest player among the three favorites is ryann of Envy, who costs $5,000. While the price is nice, ryann’s 17.9% kill share and 18.9% assist share numbers do not inspire confidence. Instead, look to VINI of FURIA, who costs $6,200. VINI’s kill and death shares hover around replacement level (20%), but that should play as long as FURIA is able to handle Bad News Bears, as the betting markets expect.
- As a contrarian option, dapr of Bad News Bears sticks out. Dapr was priced at $9,600 as recently as April 19th, but he checks in at only $6,400 on Saturday. This makes some sense with Bad News Bears listed as heavy underdogs, but dapr is always capable of racking up a high kill count. He’s gone over 60 kills three times in his last eight games. That includes a 71-kill performance on Thursday in a 2-1 loss to Liquid, proving that dapr can still be productive even in negative game environments.