Here’s a breakdown of one-game DFS contests for the Week 12 Thursday Night Football matchup featuring the Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans at 8:20 p.m. ET on FOX, NFL Network and Amazon Prime.
Cash Game Strategy
Colts defensive coordinator Matt Eberflus has generally game-planned well against Deshaun Watson, notching three sacks and two picks in the first meeting this season and giving the quarterback fits in a 21-7 Colts playoff win back in January. Still, Watson was able to top 300 yards and crack 20 DraftKings points in the last matchup and has the top floor, median, ceiling and Projected Plus/Minus in our DraftKings Showdown Models, making him the clear top option for the 1.5x slot.
Going with Watson in the Captain spot leaves enough room for Jacoby Brissett, Carlos Hyde and both of the Colts potential featured backs, Jonathan Williams and Jordan Wilkins. Wilkins operated ahead of Williams all season and is off the injury report after missing last week with an elbow injury, but in his stead, Williams rattled off 116 rushing yards on 13 carries. Ravens backs combined for 26-178-1 last week against Houston’s now J.J. Watt-less defense while the Colts had two 100-yard rushers last week against Jacksonville, so it’s not inconceivable that both Williams and Wilkins post big days.
That leaves $2,600, and the top option would be Keke Coutee if Will Fuller (hamstring) sits. Coutee has been in the doghouse at ties, but posted his best game as a pro when these teams met in January (11-110-1) when the Texans also without Fuller, and saw his second-highest target count of this season (five) in the first meeting between these two teams. If Fuller suits up, it’s Jordan Akins, who has run a pass route on over 50% of Watson’s dropbacks in each of the past eight games.
On FanDuel, both Colts backs don’t fit unless you fade Watson, Brissett or Hyde, but Wilkins ($6,500) barely costs half as much as Williams ($13,000), which makes Williams the most sensible fade here. Fuller would be the top option for the final slot if active; if not, Kenny Stills would continue to play an every-down role and take those honors.
Core GPP Plays
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