AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am PGA DFS Stats Preview: Course Fits, GPP Picks, and Values

The PGA TOUR heads to beautiful Pebble Beach this week to play the 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.

The tournament will feature a three-course rotation utilizing Pebble Beach Golf Links, Spyglass Hill Golf Course, and Monterey Peninsula Country Club. The golfers will play one round at each course before a 54-hole cut, with the final round being played at Pebble Beach.

This week’s field comprises 156 players, including Matt Fitzpatrick, Jordan Spieth, and Viktor Hovland.

Pebble Beach Golf Links is a par 72 measuring 6,828 yards and featuring Poa annua greens. Spyglass Hill is a par 72 measuring 7,035 yards, and Monterey Peninsula is a par 71 measuring 6,958 yards.

For GPP contests on DraftKings, I will be breaking down the key stats (past 24 rounds) and selecting golfers from different price tiers to provide flexibility for a DFS lineup.

For large-field tournaments, you can utilize our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your lineups.

Don’t forget about the other tools that FantasyLabs has to offer, such as the Trends tool and PGA Correlation Dashboard.

This analysis may reference Strokes Gained, a set of proprietary metrics generated by the PGA TOUR using millions of data points to calculate how many shots on average it takes a player to get the ball in the hole from every distance and situation. Strokes Gained is now available in the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

Use Underdog Fantasy promo code LABS to get a $100 sign-up bonus.

Strokes Gained: Approach

Unsurprisingly, approach grades out as the most important statistic for Pebble Beach.

On a very short course, approaches to the green are understandably more indicative of success than smashing it off the tee. With tiny greens, Pebble Beach is undoubtedly a second-shot golf course.

High-end target: Tom Hoge – $10,000 (1st SG: APP)
Mid-range target: Ben Griffin– $8,600 (4th SG: APP)
Value target: David Lipsky – $8,200 (7th SG: APP)

SG: Total on Par 72s under 7200 yards

Pebble Beach is uniquely short for a par 72. This statistic will show what kind of golfers play well on these types of courses.

High-end target: Jordan Spieth– $10,600 (5th SG: Total on par 72s under 7200 yards)
Mid-range target: Justin Rose – $9,500 (4th SG: Total on par 72s under 7200 yards)
Value target: Nick Taylor – $8,000 (9th SG: Total on par 72s under 7200 yards)

Strokes Gained: Putting (Poa and Fast)

With the course being so short, one of its primary defenses is its fast Poa annua greens. Strokes Gained: Putting has historically been extremely important here, as evidenced by former winners (Spieth, Mickelson, Snedeker).

Great Poa putters typically play very well in California.

High-end target: Maverick McNealy – $9,600 (3rd Strokes Gained: Putting Poa and Fast)
Mid-range target: Kevin Kisner – $8,500 (2nd Strokes Gained: Putting Poa and Fast)
Value target: Justin Suh – $7,300 (15th Strokes Gained: Putting Poa and Fast)

Course History

Pebble Beach has historically been a specialist’s course. Every winner of this event since 2006 has a top-21 finish in a previous appearance.

High-end target: Jordan Spieth – $10,600 (2nd SG: Total at Pebble Beach)
Mid-range target: Scott Stallings – $7,900 (5th SG: Total at Pebble Beach)
Value target: Beau Hossler – $7,400 (23rd SG: Total at Pebble Beach)

Birdies or Better Gained

With the winning score likely to get close to twenty under par, making birdies is a must this week.

High-end target: Viktor Hovland – $10,300 (1st Birdies or Better Gained)
Mid-range target: Thomas Detry – $8,800 (10th Birdies or Better Gained)
Value target: Matthias Schmid– $7,100 (9th Birdies or Better Gained)

Get Your First Deposit Matched Up to $100!

Your deposit will be fully matched

New users only

GET $100 FREE