Here’s a breakdown of one-game DFS contests for the Week 5 Monday Night Football matchup featuring the Cleveland Browns at San Francisco 49ers at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Cash Game Strategy
Jimmy Garoppolo leads the way in floor, median and ceiling projection in our DraftKings Showdown Models, with Baker Mayfield and Nick Chubb clocking in right behind. All three are projected close enough that I think you split Captain spot exposure equally between them if playing multiple contests.
The return of Tevin Coleman (ankle) creates uncertainty around the backfield rotation for Kyle Shanahan, but Coleman (6) and Matt Breida (5) handled 11 of the team’s 14 backfield carries in the first half of the only game both have been active, so those two make for the safest cash game tandem this week.
That leaves $2,900-$3,200 for the final spot depending who your Captain is, in which case the top projected remaining players no matter the scenario would be a tie between Browns RB Dontrelle Hilliard and TE Ricky Seals-Jones, who each found the paint in last week’s 40-25 romp of the Ravens. Hilliard played 25 snaps with six carries and three targets last week, while RSJ played 20 snaps, ran 15 routes, and saw three targets, so I would lean Hilliard, who has a slightly higher (albeit negligible) floor projection and serves as insurance over what’s sure to be a highly owned Chubb.
FanDuel’s scoring makes it so that there is clear separation between the median projections of both Jimmy G (17.7) and Mayfield (16.3) relative to Chubb (14.6), but those three still comprise the optimal core. With the $16,500 left over, it makes sense to go with George Kittle and a punt over Breida and a punt or any other combination, as Kittle is projected for 4.3 points more than Breida. Kendrick Bourne is the top projected player that fits in the final slot. Bourne is averaging 20.7 snaps, 2.3 targets and 0.67 red-zone targets per game.
Core GPP Plays
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