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Sean Koerner — Fantasy Pros’ 4x Most Accurate Fantasy Football Ranker — breaks down his 2024 Best Ball QB tiers and rankings.
Now that the draft is over, schedules are out, and rosters have mostly settled, it’s time to start making initial fantasy football rankings and projections for each position.
I think it’s key to start position by position and identify value within a position before forming my overall draft strategy. Therefore let’s take a deep dive at my initial QB ranks within the context of the position and once I have every position mapped out it’ll be easier to flesh out my overall strategy for the 2024 NFL season.
If you’re new to the Best Ball format on sites like Underdog Fantasy, DraftKings and Drafters, it’s imperative to know that stacking is the best way to raise the overall ceiling for your team and set you up for success.
The QB position is such a critical part of stacks that I tend to let the position come to me. I either draft QBs that fall to a range in which they offer value or tend to reach for a quarterback if I have a couple of viable stacking partners to go alongside them.
At the same time, we want to target QBs that offer spike week potential, so I have come up with a metric to measure roughly how many Best Ball Points Added each QB provided last season. Take a look:
Here, you can read more about Best Ball Points Added.
While much of the analysis below is catered to Best Ball, I also recommend using these tiers for your redraft leagues. You can stay on top of all my changes during the preseason by comparing these to my updated fantasy football rankings, which you can find here.
Without further ado, let’s get to my initial 2024 Best Ball Quarterback Tiers!
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Fantasy Football QB Tiers, Rankings
Tier 1
- Josh Allen
- Jalen Hurts
- Lamar Jackson
- Patrick Mahomes
You could make a strong case for Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, or Lamar Jackson to be the first QB off the board, but Patrick Mahomes should typically be the fourth QB selected. Last season, he ranked as QB7 in overall fantasy points but only QB13 in Best Ball score. This is because, aside from a Week 7 eruption, Mahomes was more of a high-floor QB without many spiked weeks. Rashee Rice’s potential suspension due to legal troubles could not only hurt Mahomes’ weekly upside but also make potential stacks tricky. Ideally, if you are taking a QB early, you’ll want it to be one of the top three then Mahomes.
Josh Allen might take a bit of a hit with both Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis on new teams, but he still has enough surrounding talent to post elite numbers thanks to his enormous rushing upside. He has scored six or more rushing TDs in all six of his seasons, with no signs of slowing down, considering he had a career-high 15 last year.
Jalen Hurts has the most bankable rushing TD upside thanks to the controversial “tush push,” but there have been rumors of Saquon Barkley taking some reps as the primary ball carrier in that formation. This is something to monitor closely as it significantly impacts the projected rushing TDs for both Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkley.
Lamar Jackson has the fewest concerns of any QB in this tier and could benefit from opposing defenses now having to worry about Derrick Henry in the backfield, opening up more passing and running lanes for Jackson. Considering you can make a case that he’s the no. 1 quarterback while his ADP is closer to 3, makes him the best target from this top QB tier.