Baseball is back! Check back here throughout the day for updated blurbs as teams confirm their lineup. We’ll keep you updated on some of the day’s highest-impact trends by utilizing our Models and Vegas dashboard. Projected and confirmed lineups for every game can be found on our MLB Daily Lineups page.
Rays (+164) at Red Sox (-178) — 7:10 PM EST
Red Sox in: Ian Kinsler (tight left hamstring), Mitch Moreland (knee)
Mitch Moreland will play through his knee injury, and the Red Sox will welcome back Ian Kinsler from the disabled list. They’ll bat third and sixth, respectively, for a Red Sox lineup presently implied to score a solid 5.5 runs. They boast plenty of power at the top of the order, as Mookie Betts, Moreland, J.D. Martinez, and Kinsler form the main slate’s fourth-highest rated four-man stack in combined ISO. The Red Sox are particularly in play on FanDuel, where each starter has a Bargain Rating of at least 86 percent. Overall, they’ve combined to post a slate-high .345 wOBA vs. right-handed pitchers over the past 12 months. This is all bad news for righty Ryan Stanek, who ranks among the main slate’s bottom-two pitchers in average batted ball distance, fly-ball rate, and hard-hit rate allowed over the past 15 days. Both offenses could benefit from estimated wind gusts of six miles per hour blowing out to left field.
Giants (+106) at Reds (-115) — 7:15 PM EST
Reds in: Mason Williams
Reds out: Joey Votto (right lower leg contusion)
Joey Votto has been placed on the 10-day disabled list due to a right lower leg contusion, so the Reds will roll with Billy Hamilton, Jose Peraza, and Scooter Gennett at the top of the order for their matchup against the Giants. They’re presently implied to score an impressive 4.9 runs and boast the third-highest Team Value Rating on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Overall, each of Peraza, Gennett, and Preston Tucker have posted positive wOBA and ISO splits vs. right-handed pitchers over the past 12 months. Gennett in particular is set up well on FanDuel, where his $3,000 price tag comes with a 93 percent Bargain Rating and five Pro Trends. Giants righty Casey Kelly will get his first start since 2016 against a Reds lineup that has combined to post a respectable .315 wOBA vs. right-handed pitchers over the past 12 months. Be sure to monitor the weather, as current forecasts call for an estimated 38 percent chance of precipitation.
