Baseball is back! Check back here throughout the day for updated blurbs as teams confirm their lineup. We’ll keep you updated on some of the day’s highest-impact trends by utilizing our Models and Vegas dashboard. Projected and confirmed lineups for every game can be found on our MLB Daily Lineups page.
Red Sox (-160) at Blue Jays (+147) — 7:07 PM EST
Red Sox in: Steve Pearce, Brock Holt
Red Sox out: Rafael Devers, Mitch Moreland
Rafael Devers and Mitch Moreland will receive routine days off against the Blue Jays, so the Red Sox will roll with Mookie Betts, Andrew Benintendi, and Steve Pearce at the top of the order. They’re presently implied to score a strong 5.4 runs and are especially in play on DraftKings, where they boast the second-highest Team Value Rating in Thursday’s main slate. Overall, Betts, Benintendi, Pearce, and J.D. Martinez form the main slate’s second-best four-man stack in combined ISO over the past 12 months. Each of Betts, Devers, and Sandy Leon have posted positive wOBA and ISO splits vs. southpaws over the past 12 months. Lefty Ryan Borucki will have his hands full with a Red Sox lineup that has combined to post a slate-high .341 wOBA vs. left-handed pitchers over the past calendar year. The good news for the Blue Jays is Borucki has done a great job limiting big hits recently, allowing slate-low marks in average batted ball distance, exit velocity, and hard-hit rate over the past 15 days.
