Baseball is back! Check back here throughout the day for updated blurbs as teams confirm their lineup. We’ll keep you updated on some of the day’s highest-impact trends by utilizing our Models and Vegas dashboard. Projected and confirmed lineups for every game can be found on our MLB Daily Lineups page.
Red Sox (+169) at Nationals (-184) — 7:05 PM EST
Red Sox out: J.D. Martinez
J.D. Martinez will get a day off due to the absence of a designated hitter, so the Red Sox will roll with Mookie Betts, Andrew Benintendi, and Xander Bogaerts at the top of the order for their matchup against the Nationals. They’re presently implied to score just 3.2 runs, as Max Scherzer has historically been absolutely dominant at home. Overall, Scherzer has averaged 45.7 FanDuel points per game with a +8.3 Plus/Minus and a 64.8 percent Consistency Rating at home since joining the Nationals in 2015. Still, he’ll need to do a better job forcing hitters to keep the ball on the ground, as he’s one of just four pitchers in Monday’s main slate that have allowed a fly-ball rate of at least 50 percent over the past 15 days. Exposure to Scherzer should be focused on FanDuel, where his $11,700 price tag comes with six Pro Trends and a 93 percent Bargain Rating. The Red Sox-Nationals’ matchup has the third-most hitter-friendly Weather Rating in Monday’s main slate.
Twins (+123) at Brewers (-133) — 8:10 PM EST
Twins in: Jorge Polanco
Twins out: Ehire Adrianza (hamstring)
Jorge Polanco has been reinstated from his 80-game suspension and will bat fifth for a Twins lineup presently implied to score just 3.8 runs. Ehire Adrianza has been placed on the 10-day disabled list due to a hamstring injury. Only Joe Mauer, Brian Dozier, and Max Kepler have posted positive wOBA and ISO splits vs. left-handed pitchers over the past 12 months among the Twins starters. They’ll face off against Brent Suter, who has allowed three or fewer runs in seven of his last eight starts while pitching at least five innings in each game. Suter is set up well against a Twins lineup that has combined to post a mediocre .300 wOBA vs. southpaws over the past calendar year. Still, he carries a brutal 4.2 K Prediction and faces a Twins lineup that has combined to strike out every .171 at bats over the past 12 months – the lowest mark in Monday’s main slate. The Brewers-Twins’ matchup currently has the most pitcher-friendly Weather Rating in Monday’s main slate.
