Baseball is back! Check back here throughout the day for updated blurbs as teams confirm their lineup. We’ll keep you updated on some of the day’s highest-impact trends by utilizing our Models and Vegas dashboard. Projected and confirmed lineups for every game can be found on our MLB Daily Lineups page.
Rockies (+115) at Phillies (-125) — 7:05 PM EST
Phillies in: Odubel Herrera
Phillies out: Jesmuel Valentín
Odubel Herrera will receive a routine day off, so the Phillies will go with Rhys Hoskins, Aaron Altherr, and Jesmuel Valentin from left to right field in their matchup against the Rockies. They’ll bat second, fifth, and seventh, respectively, for a Phillies lineup presently implied to score a respectable 4.5 runs. The Phillies are especially in play on FanDuel, where they carry the second-highest Team Value Rating in Wednesday’s main slate. Still, only Hoskins has managed to post positive wOBA and ISO splits vs. southpaws over the past 12 months, and the Phillies lineup as a whole has combined to post a pedestrian .291 wOBA vs. left-handed pitchers – the second-worst mark in Wednesday’s main slate. Tyler Anderson carries a respectable 6.3 K Prediction and is especially on play on FanDuel, where his $5,900 price tag comes with a 68 percent Bargain Rating and a +5.2 Projected Plus/Minus.
Padres (+176) at Cardinals (-192) — 8:15 PM EST
Cardinals in: Harrison Bader
Cardinals out: Matt Carpenter
Matt Carpenter will receive a day off, so the Cardinals will roll with Harrison Bader, Tommy Pham, and Jose Martinez at the top of the order. The Cardinals are presently implied to score an impressive five runs against the Padres and lefty Eric Lauer, who ranks among the main slate’s bottom-two pitchers in average batted ball distance, exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and home run rate allowed over the past 12 months. Pham, Martinez, Marcell Ozuna, and Yadier Molina form the main slate’s second-highest rated four-man stack on Fanduel in the Bales Model. Overall, each of Bader, Pham, Martinez, Jedd Gyorko, and Yairo Munoz have posted positive wOBA and ISO splits vs. left-handed pitchers over the past 12 months. Bader in particular is set up well on FanDuel, where his $2,500 price tag comes with a 93 percent Bargain Rating and a +1.5 Projected Plus/Minus.
Reds (-119) at Royals (+110) — 8:15 PM EST
Reds in: Curt Casali
Reds out: Tucker Barnhart
Curt Casali will catch and bat eighth in place of Tucker Barnhart, who will receive a routine day off. The Reds are presently implied to score a solid five runs and boast the fourth-best Team Value Rating on both DraftKings and FanDuel. They’re set up well throughout the order, as each of their top-six batters, with the exception of Eugenio Suarez, have posted positive wOBA and ISO splits vs. right-handed pitchers over the past 12 months. Overall, Scott Schebler, Jose Peraza, Suarez, and Jesse Winker form the main slate’s highest-rated four-man stack on DraftKings in the Bales Model. Schebler and Peraza are the first- and second-highest rated overall betters in the Bales Model, respectively. Jason Hammel will have his hands full with a Reds lineup that has combined to post a slate-high .364 wOBA vs. right-handed pitchers over the past calendar year.
Indians (-187) at White Sox (+172) — 8:10 PM EST
White Sox in: Daniel Palka
White Sox out: Matt Davidson
Matt Davidson will receive a day off, so Jose Abreu and Daniel Palka will bat third and fourth, respectively, for a White Sox lineup currently implied to score just 3.6 runs. Only two of the top-six batters in the White Sox order have posted positive ISO splits vs. right-handed pitchers over the past 12 months, which is great news for Indians righty Trevor Bauer. Overall, Bauer has posted a +12.9 Plus/Minus with an 80 percent Consistency Rating on FanDuel over his past 10 starts. Bauer is once again in play on FanDuel, where his $10,200 price tag comes with a 90 percent Bargain Rating, seven Pro Trends, and a +10.5 Projected Plus/Minus. Bauer’s 7.9 K Prediction is the second-highest mark in Wednesday’s main slate, and he’s set up well against a White Sox lineup that has combined to strike out every .265 at bats over the past calendar year.
