This series uses the FantasyLabs Tools to analyze three key MLB players in the day’s slate.
Carlos Carrasco: Pitcher, Indians
There are a few intriguing pitching options on Monday’s slate, but none intrigue me more than Carrasco. Since 2014, Carrasco has been more effective on the road than at home when the Indians are favored. He’s averaging 44.83 FanDuel points per game with a +12.00 Plus/Minus and a massive 82% Consistency Rating. He has also been lower owned:
Carrasco boasts a slate-best 1.11 WHIP and 10.14 K/9 over the past 12 months, and he will take the mound against a projected Orioles lineup that owns a 28.1% strikeout rate against right-handed pitchers over the past 12 months. Along with his favorable strikeout metrics (8.3 K Prediction), the Orioles are implied for just 3.3 runs, and the Indians check in as the largest favorite on the night (-208 moneyline odds).
Kyle Seager: Third Baseman, Mariners
With our Lineup Builder, it’s easy to incorporate stacks into DFS rosters. One of the top stacks in the Recent Batted Ball Player Model belongs to the Seattle Mariners, who are implied for 5.1 runs against White Sox right-hander Miguel Gonzalez:
Seager is reasonably priced on both sites, sporting a 49% Bargain Rating on DraftKings and a 57% Bargain Rating on FanDuel. He is in a minor slump with a -2.39 FanDuel Plus/Minus over his past 10 games. Luckily for him, Gonzalez has been getting throttled to begin the season, allowing 17 earned runs over his past three starts. Not to mention, Gonzalez has given up a very high .458 weighted on-base average (wOBA) and .215 isolated power (ISO) to opposing hitters over the past 12 months. Seager has fared well against righties over the past 12 months with a .332 wOBA and .220 ISO. He also has solid recent batted ball data with a 213-foot average distance and a 92-mph exit velocity. Hitters with comparable metrics have historically averaged a +1.20 FanDuel Plus/Minus.
Charlie Blackmon: Outfielder, Rockies
Per our Vegas Dashboard, the Rockies are implied for a slate-high 6.3 runs and sport an exceptional Team Value Rating of 88 on DraftKings:
Blackmon will face right-hander Bryan Mitchell, who has some awful recent batted ball data, allowing an average distance of 220 feet, exit velocity of 93 mph, and a massive hard-hit rate of 51%. Historically, hitters at Coors Field against pitchers with comparable recent batted ball data have averaged a +1.11 DraftKings Plus/Minus with a 48% Consistency Rating. Blackmon will also be on the positive side of his wOBA, and ISO splits, sporting an elite .424 wOBA and .281 ISO against righties over the past 12 months.
Good luck on today’s slate, and be sure to check out The Action Network if you’re looking for more baseball coverage!
After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our industry-leading DFS-focused news blurbs.
Pictured above: Carlos Carrasco
Photo credit: Scott R. Galvin-USA TODAY Sports
