Using our Stacking tool found within our revamped Models 3.0, this piece will identify some of the top stacks of the weekend. Check out our new Correlations page as well to find hidden edges in stacking positions and games.
Quarterback + Wide Receiver
- Andy Dalton ($5,700 DraftKings, $7,600 FanDuel)
- A.J. Green ($8,600 DraftKings, $8,500 FanDuel)
Currently the top-rated DraftKings stack in the Bales, CSURAM88, and Adam Levitan Models, Dalton and Green have the pleasure of facing an Indianapolis Colts team that is hemorrhaging fantasy points to both quarterbacks and wide receivers. The Colts have allowed the third-most points per game (PPG) to quarterbacks on DraftKings (22.5) and sixth-most on FanDuel (20.2). Wide receivers playing Indy have posted the sixth-most PPG on DraftKings (38.2) and fifth-most on FanDuel (30.5). The Bengals are 11-point home favorites implied to score 26.5 points against the Colts. It’s likely that both Dalton and Green will be two of the highest-owned players on DraftKings’ main slate, so consider adding in an undervalued Colts player like Jack Doyle to differentiate your stack in large-field guaranteed prize pools (GPPs).
As detailed by Matthew Freedman in his Quarterback Breakdown, the already-terrible Colts pass defense will be without at least one, if not two, of their highest-rated PFF defensive backs in cornerback Rashaan Melvin (concussion) and free safety Malik Hooker (knee, out for season). Put simply: Dalton’s matchup could not be any tastier than it is this week.
Green has collected a massive, team-leading 33.05 target market share this season, and Ian Hartitz said this in his WR/CB Matchups piece:
Green’s combination of speed, size, workload, and natural talent gives him a legitimate ceiling of 200-plus yards with multiple touchdowns that very few other receivers can offer. The Colts hardly seem qualified to contain him – and that’s with a healthy unit.
Peter Jennings (CSURAM88) may have lost a few houses in September, but Pro subscribers can hear his thoughts on Green in his WR Model Preview.
Running Back + D/ST
- LeGarrette Blount ($5,100 DraftKings, $6,100 FanDuel)
- Philadelphia ($3,800 DraftKings, $5,400 FanDuel)
The Philadelphia defense — and their slate-high +3.79 Projected Plus/Minus on DraftKings and +4.28 Projected Plus/Minus on FanDuel — welcomes San Francisco into Lincoln Financial Field as slate-high 12.5-point favorites. The 49ers are currently implied to score the second-fewest points (16.0) in Week 8, and the Eagles have a top-five projected sack total (3.0). As stated in this week’s Defense Breakdown:
Defenses with comparable salaries favored by 10-16 points have historically produced 10.08 points with a +1.41 Plus/Minus on DraftKings and 9.49 points with a +1.36 Plus/Minus on FanDuel.
While the Eagles defense portion of this stack is likely to be chalky, Blount is a high-risk, high-reward play who will likely be low-owned; we currently have him projected around five percent on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Blount (38 percent) shared snaps with Wendell Smallwood (37 percent) on Monday night, but Blount did out-carry Smallwood 11-1 in the second half. Blount leads the Eagles with a 53.21 percent market share of rushes and eight opportunities inside the 10-yard line. He is currently the No. 1 rated back in the Bales Model for FanDuel. In 16 games since 2015 when favored by more than a touchdown at home, Blount has generated 15.11 PPG with a +3.68 Plus/Minus on DraftKings and 14.36 PPG with a +3.84 Plus/Minus on FanDuel (per the Trends tool). This could be Philadelphia’s first taste of an old-fashioned “Blount game.”
Quarterback + Running Back + Tight End
- Kirk Cousins ($6,400 DraftKings, $7,800 FanDuel)
- Chris Thompson ($5,800 DraftKings, $6,000 FanDuel)
- Jordan Reed ($4,700 DraftKings, $6,100 FanDuel)
The Redskins are 1.5-point home dogs against the Cowboys this week, so potential game script would have them throwing in the match with the second-highest total (47.5) on the slate. With Thompson’s PPR scoring prowess, this stack is more appealing on DraftKings, where the Cowboys have allowed 19.3 PPG to quarterbacks (11th-most) and 25.7 PPG to running backs (12th-most) this season. Over the past four weeks, Cousins has averaged 27.53 DraftKings PPG, and he has historically crushed as a home dog, producing 21.45 PPG with a +5.49 Plus/Minus and 63.6 percent Consistency. Thompson has seen less than five targets in only one game this season and currently has the second-highest target share (14.62) on the team. Thompson is not quite a workhorse back, but he leads the Redskins in market share (38.54 percent of rushes) and has received Washington’s third-most opportunities inside the 10-yard line.
The Cowboys have not been nearly as fantasy-friendly to tight ends as they have been to quarterbacks and running backs, but when Reed is healthy and being targeted, he is virtually matchup-proof. The good news: Reed isn’t on the injury report and leads the team in target market share.
