This series uses the FantasyLabs Tools to analyze MLB stacks in the day’s slate. The series does not provide play or fade recommendations. It provides analysis.
Houston Astros
In this 13-game DraftKings main slate — with Coors Field in play — the three highest-rated five-man stacks in the Bales Model belong to the Astros, who are implied for 5.2 runs (per our Vegas Dashboard):
Houston faces struggling Toronto righty Cesar Valdez, who owns the slate’s second-worst 1.667 WHIP and 2.045 HR/9 over the past year.
With favorable splits versus right-handed pitching, Josh Reddick leads the stack with .123 and .152 wOBA and ISO differentials. Derek Fisher and Alex Bregman are hitting the ball well lately with recent batted ball distances of 228 and 236 feet, respectively; both have differentials of at least +14 feet over the past 15 days. The Astros are currently seeing some reverse line movement (see the MLB Breakdown for more on this), which could lead to reduced ownership. Pro subscribers can review ownership rates after lineup lock via our DFS Ownership Dashboard.
Minnesota Twins
The Twins own the top four-man FanDuel stack in the CSURAM88 Model and currently have the highest Team Value Rating at 90:
The Twins are also implied for 5.2 runs — tied for the seventh-highest mark on the slate — and take on Rangers lefty Martin Perez, whose 1.488 WHIP is tied for third-worst today.
Each player in this stack has strong split differentials against lefties, but Eduardo Escobar is a top-five rated player in the model with a Bargain Rating of 95 percent. His recent Statcast data is especially impressive with a batted ball distance of 240 feet, exit velocity of 94 miles per hour, and fly ball rate of 51 percent; hitters with comparable lineup spots, implied totals, and Statcast data have historically provided a +1.29 Plus/Minus on FanDuel (per our Trends tool).
Colorado Rockies
If you use our Lineup Builder to filter by FanDuel Pro Trends, Rockies stacks dominate the slate, which is no surprise given the five batters in the top-20 of our proprietary metric.
Of those five batters, Gerardo Parra is one you could skip; he’s sporting a subpar recent batted ball distance of 199 feet, exit velocity of 91 mph, and fly ball and hard hit rates of 32 and 38 percent. His Recent Batted Ball Luck score of -40 indicates negative regression is imminent. One player that could differentiate Colorado stacks is Trevor Story, who is projected to bat seventh (per our Lineups page). Per our Trends tool, batters at Coors Field with comparable lineup spots and recent hard hit rates have historically provided a +6.57 Plus/Minus on FanDuel.
Good luck!
News Updates
After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players herein mentioned. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our industry-leading DFS-focused news blurbs:
