This series uses the FantasyLabs Tools to analyze MLB stacks in the day’s slate. The series does not provide play or fade recommendations. It provides analysis.
Texas Rangers
In the seven-game DraftKings main slate, three of today’s four highest-rated five-man stacks in the Bales Model belong to the Rangers, who are implied for ‘only’ 5.0 runs (per our Vegas Dashboard):
To differentiate a Texas stack, you can pivot away from underperforming No. 2 hitter Elvis Andrus to No. 6 hitter Mike Napoli, who has smashed lately with a batted ball distance of 270 feet, exit velocity of 94 miles per hour, and fly ball and hard hit rates of 71 and 52 percent. His distance and hard hit differentials of 50 feet and 18 percentage points are unreal. Orioles righty Kevin Gausman is a strong pitcher to exploit, as he allows the highest recent batted ball distance, exit velocity, and hard hit rate on the slate. His 1.49 HR/9 rate is the slate’s second-highest mark.
Los Angeles Dodgers
With the Lineup Builder, it’s easy to incorporate stacks into DFS rosters. The top four-man FanDuel stack in the The Sports Geek Model belongs to the Dodgers, who are implied for 5.5 runs, tied for the second-highest mark in the main slate:
Amazingly Logan Forsythe, Corey Seager, and Justin Turner are all top-four players in the Model, with the latter two carrying a recent batted ball distance of over 250 feet. Per our Trends tool, batters comparable in implied totals, lineup spots, and Statcast data have historically averaged 17.52 points with a +5.97 Plus/Minus and 51.1 percent Consistency Rating. The main decision in this stack is Chris Taylor versus Cody Bellinger. Taylor has favorable splits versus left-handed pitching — the Dodgers are facing White Sox lefty Carlos Rodon — and Bellinger has also been trending in the wrong direction lately with distance and hard hit differentials of -18 feet and -11 percentage points.
Boston Red Sox
Rangers and Dodgers stacks dominate the Models, but consider the Red Sox, who are implied for 5.5 runs and already have significant line movement of 0.4 runs in their favor:
Boston owns the second-highest FanDuel Team Value Rating at 87, and Mitch Moreland — projected to bat cleanup (per our Lineups page) — is a strong value with solid Statcast data and a Recent Batted Ball Luck of +64. Historically, similarly unlucky FanDuel batters with comparable lineup spots and implied team totals have produced a Plus/Minus of +7.51. In this small slate, the Red Sox will likely have elevated ownership, which Pro subscribers can review after lineup lock via our DFS Ownership Dashboard.
Good luck, and be sure to read today’s MLB Breakdown!
News Updates
After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players herein mentioned. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our industry-leading DFS-focused news blurbs:
