This series uses the FantasyLabs Tools to analyze three key MLB players in the day’s slate. The series does not provide play or fade recommendations. It provides analysis.
Luis Severino: Pitcher, Yankees
Wednesday’s main slate offers a few intriguing pitching options, one of whom is Severino. At home against the Royals, who are implied for 3.6 runs, Severino is a stellar -183 moneyline favorite with a 6.1 K Prediction. Historically, pitchers with similar K Predictions and Vegas data have averaged a +3.36 FanDuel Plus/Minus with a 59.5 percent Consistency Rating (per our Trends tool):
On top of that, he easily has the best Statcast data on the slate with a recent batted ball distance of 179 feet, exit velocity of 91 miles per hour, and ground ball rate of 56 percent. With Chris Sale in the slate, Severino’s unlikely to have exorbitant ownership, which Pro subscribers can review shortly after lock in our DFS Ownership Dashboard.
Carlos Beltran: Outfielder, Astros
Per our Vegas Dashboard, the Houston Astros have a Team Value Rating of 79 — the third-highest mark on the main slate. Implied for 5.1 runs, the Astros may be a popular team on tonight:
Beltran has a strong Recent Batted Ball Luck score of 63, which means that despite crushing the ball he hasn’t had proportional fantasy success. His recent Statcast data is strong with a batted ball distance of 246 feet, exit velocity of 94 miles per hour, hard hit rate of 40 percent, and a massive 62 percent fly ball rate.
Also notable is his .408 wOBA and .224 ISO against left-handed pitchers. Daniel Norris has some rough Statcast data with a recent batted ball distance of 217 feet, exit velocity of 97 miles per hour, and a hard hit rate of 55 percent. Some positive regression could be headed Beltran’s way. He’s one of the top batters in our Player Models.
Aaron Judge: Outfielder, Yankees
With the Lineup Builder, it’s easy to incorporate stacks into DFS rosters. The Yankees are currently implied to score five runs against the Royals, who are starting the exploitable Jason Hammel with his 1.601 HR/9. Per our Lineups page, Judge is projected to hit fifth and will likely be a core player in Yankees stacks:
Sporting a .395 wOBA and .310 ISO against right-handers, Judge is in an exceptional spot against Hammel, who in his last two starts has some putrid Statcast data with a recent batted ball distance of 248 feet, exit velocity of 93 miles per hour, and fly ball rate of 50 percent. Although Judge has been quiet lately, he has the potential to capitalize here.
Good luck, and be sure to read Bryan Mears’ MLB Breakdown later today!
News Updates
After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players herein mentioned. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our industry-leading DFS-focused news blurbs:
