The FantasyLabs MLB Player Models house numerous data points to help you construct your MLB DFS rosters.
They house our floor, median, and ceiling projections for each player, but that’s just the beginning of what you’ll find inside. You’ll also find our Trends tool, stacking tool, and more.
Also, don’t forget that for large-field tournaments, you can utilize our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 300 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your teams for cash games or small-field tournaments.
Let’s dive into some MLB plays that stand out in our Player Models for today’s slate.
Bargain Rating Picks
You might be asking: what is Bargain Rating, and why should I care?
Bargain Rating shows how much of a bargain a player is on one DFS site versus others. If a player is significantly cheaper on one site than the other, they will have a favorable Bargain Rating on the site where they’re more affordable and a poor Bargain Rating on the site where they’re more expensive. It’s a straightforward metric, but targeting players at reduced price tags is almost always a strong strategy in DFS.
Bargain Rating strongly correlates with player value, which you can quickly see with our predictive projected Plus/Minus metric.
Seeing how Plus/Minus helps you project how many points a player is expected to score compared to what their salary implies them to score, this is a good company for Bargain Rating.
MLB DFS DraftKings Bargain Value
Andrew Benintendi ($2,300): Outfielder, Chicago White Sox
A recent hot streak is keeping Andrew Benintendi at the top of the bargain ratings on the model today against the Yankees. The White Sox outfielder has a +6.76 average Plus/Minus over the last 10 games with three 20+ DraftKings point results in his last six games.
The season has largely been disappointing for Benintendi until the last 10 games. He is batting .211/.264/.365 on the year with 13 home runs and 40 RBI. His .273 wOBA is the lowest of his career, but he has notched a much better .848 OPS since the All-Star Break.
Chicago faces Luis Gil on the mound for the Yankees tonight. Gil has an impressive 12-5 record and a 3.06 ERA. He is 11th in the American League with 138 strikeouts on the season.
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MLB DFS Ceiling Projection Picks
Pitcher
Chris Sale ($10,500) at San Francisco Giants
The move to Atlanta for 2024 has been very good for Chris Sale. He leads the National League in wins with a 13-3 record and also paces the league with a 2.75 ERA.
Sale hasn’t been quite as good since the All-Star break, with a 3.06 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in his last three starts, but he’s still averaged far better than a strikeout per inning with 25 punchouts in 17.2 innings pitched. He has a strong 32.6 K% on the season and allows a minuscule 29.5 hard hit %.
Using Plate IQ, the Giants have a .224 ISO and .390 wOBA against left-handed pitching this season. Despite those numbers looking solid, they have a low run and fantasy point projection tonight against Atlanta’s ace.
Hitter
Aaron Judge ($6,900) at Chicago White Sox
The Yankees superstar continues to mash at the plate with an American League leading 42 home runs and 106 RBI. Aaron Judge is close to triple crown pace with a .328/.462/.699 batting line with an insane 59.7 hard hit % and .478 xwOBA.
Judge showcases his ceiling potential on a regular basis with 10 20+ DraftKings point performances since July 1. He has a +6.46 average Plus/Minus over the last 10 games and a +1.96 average Plus/Minus over the entire season. With one of the highest consistent salaries, Judge still manages to outperform his price tag on a regular basis.
He and the Yankees have a prime matchup against rookie Ky Bush tonight in Chicago. Bush allowed three runs in 4.0 innings during his first big league start on August 5.
More DraftKings MLB DFS Hitters and Pitchers
One of the great features of being a FantasyLabs Pro member is the option to purchase additional items in the FantasyLabs Marketplace.
A new addition to our MLB projections is THE BAT X from Derek Carty of RotoGrinders. With this purchase, you can use his projections alone or create aggregate projections within our Player Models.
For this example, we created a 50/50 blend with THE BAT X and the FantasyLabs projections to pinpoint some hitters standing out with this blend.
MLB DFS Pitcher
Luis Gil ($9,000) at Chicago White Sox
Expect a lot of fantasy attention on the Yankees tonight as they play a White Sox team reeling off a historic recent losing streak. In his first full big league season, Luis Gil has exceeded all expectations with a 12-5 mark and 138 strikeouts through 22 starts.
The Yankees right-hander has an impressive 3.06 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. He allows an incredibly low .198 xBA and a moderate 36.7 hard hit %. If he can bring his 12.0 BB% down and tick up his 28.5 K%, Gil is on the verge of fantasy stardom.
The White Sox offense has a disappointing .130 ISO and .271 wOBA against right-handers this season. They have zero high wOBA hitters and just one high ISO performer in Luis Robert. This is a great spot for fantasy production out of Gil and the Yankees.
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MLB DFS Hitters
Corbin Carroll ($4,600) vs. Colorado Rockies
The Diamondbacks have one of the highest implied run totals on today’s main slate at home against the Rockies. Corbin Carroll is a strong play to capitalize on the expected offensive output for Arizona with three 16+ DraftKings point results in his last four games.
Carroll has struggled this season compared to his 2023 numbers with a .218/.308/.380 batting line, including 11 home runs and 46 RBI. He has continued to add fantasy value with his speed as he leads the National League with 10 triples and is just outside the top 10 in stolen bases.
The Rockies trot out rookie Bradley Blalock to make his first big league start tonight. He threw a scoreless one inning in his only major league appearance on June 20.
Masataka Yoshida ($4,000) vs. Texas Rangers
Masataka Yoshida is one of the best contact hitters in the game, with a very low 13.6 K%. His DraftKings salary is suppressed by his lack of power numbers, but Yoshida is on a recent power streak with two home runs in his last five games.
On the season, Yoshida is batting .280/.349/.412 with seven home runs and 39 RBI in 68 games. He has a moderate 38.5 hard hit % and 34.6 sweet spot %.
The Red Sox face right-hander Tyler Mahle for the Rangers, who has spent most of the season in the minor leagues. Mahle allowed one run in five innings in his only big league start of the season. He has a career 4.28 ERA and 1.30 WHIP over eight major league seasons.
