NFL DFS Roundtable Picks: Cash Game and GPP Flag Plants for Week 11

NFL DFS is a game of conviction, and below you’ll find a list of flag plants that our panel of DFS analysts are high on for Week 11.

Don’t forget to check out our Lineup Builder if you like to hand build your lineups or our Lineup Optimizer for those of you that like to enter multiple lineups into tournaments.

Let’s get right into it.

Week 11 NFL DFS Flag Plants

Sean Koerner: Director of Predictive Analytics for Action Network

Dalton Schultz ($4,300 DraftKings; $5,900 FanDuel) (Cash/GPP)

Dalton Schultz appeared to be fully over his PCL injury following the Cowboys’ bye week, as he posted a solid 6/54/1 game while running a route on 73% of Dak Prescott’s dropbacks. It was the first time he’s topped a 70% routes run rate since Week 4.

Schultz does much better against zone coverage as he’s logged a 1.84 Y/RR against zone compared to just a 0.65 yards per route run against man coverage. He faces a Vikings defense that has used zone coverage at the second-highest rate this season.

The tight end position has been hit hard by injuries lately, with Darren Waller, Zach Ertz, and Dallas Goedert expected to miss most of, if not the rest of the season. Plus, Travis Kelce isn’t on the main slate, while Mark Andrews could be playing at less than 100% if he is able to play through his questionable tag.

Schultz is my favorite tight end target in both cash & GPP formats.

Nick Giffen: Predictive Analytics for Action Network

Gabe Davis ($6,300 DraftKings; $7,100 FanDuel) (GPP)

Davis commands the highest aDOT among all receivers with at least 20 targets this year at 16.8 and faces a Browns team that ranks 30th against the deep ball by DVOA.

At only a 50% catch rate this year, Davis should be closer to a 54% catch rate based on the depth of his targets. By facing that Browns team that struggles with the deep ball and playing in the domed confines of Ford Field, this is a spot where Davis’ catch rate is likely to improve.

While he has averaged six targets per game this year, he doesn’t necessarily need a ton of volume to have a big impact. He just needs more efficiency with the volume he does see.

Davis forecasts for ownership in the 5% neighborhood but has plenty of upsides, especially given the matchup.

Notorious: RotoGrinders Analyst

Saquon Barkley ($8,900 DraftKings; $9,700 FanDuel) (Cash/GPP)

This play shouldn’t shock anyone. The Giants are playing at home — they are favorites — and they are facing the NFL’s version of Coors Field when it comes to matchups. On the season, the Lions are ranked 27th in rush defense DVOA, 24th in defensive adjusted line yards, and 24th in fantasy points allowed to running backs.

The Giants want to run the ball as much as possible and both the matchup and expected game script should allow them to do just that. Barkley has averaged 26 opportunities (carries + targets) per game this season, which is the most of any running back in the league.

I am prioritizing him over the expensive wide receivers and will be taking my chances with cheaper wideouts like George Pickens, Donovan Peoples-Jones, and Nico Collins.

Beer: RotoGrinders Analyst

Jonathan Taylor ($7,800 DraftKings; $8,700 FanDuel) (GPP)

This isn’t the typical spot we look to target our running backs as a home underdog, but this matchup screams run the damn ball. With former offensive lineman Jeff Saturday taking over as the head coach, we saw the Colts go back to their strength last week and establish it.

Taylor toted the rock 22 times and looked explosive totaling 163 yards and another run-heavy game plan should be on deck this week against the run funnel defense of Philadelphia. The Eagles are the No. 1 ranked DVOA defense against the pass but all the way down at 28th in DVOA against the run and what a better way to keep Jalen Hurts and this potent Eagles offense grounded than to try and dominate time of possession with Taylor.

The Eagles have allowed over 5.0 yards per carry without young stud Jordan Davis in the lineup and the ownership looks to be settling in around 10% on a guy with slate-breaking upside making him a great GPP option in Week 11.

Get a 100% Deposit Match up to $250!

Your deposit will be fully matched

New users only

GET $250 FREE

Dan Gaspar: RotoGrinders Analyst

Brian Robinson ($5,300 DraftKings; $6,600 FanDuel) (GPP)

This feels like a spot where recency bias + a matchup against the Texans will drive up Robinson’s ownership, but he’s currently projected to be just 3.58% owned on FanDuel and 7.14% on DraftKings. I have been a pretty big critic of Robinson so far this season as he hasn’t looked great when given opportunities (3.3 YPC), but this is pretty much the best spot a “grinder” type back can get.

The Commanders showed in their Week 10 victory against the Eagles that they are completely fine (and likely prefer) simply running the damn ball as Robinson (26) and Antonio Gibson (14) combined for a massive 40 carries. As long as this game stays close, or the Commanders are playing with the lead, I fully expect them to run the ball again at a high rate, and the matchup couldn’t get any better.

Houston has allowed the most fantasy points to the running back position by a wide margin this season allowing the most rushing yards (1,407) and most touchdowns (13). This is a spot where Robinson could easily hit value even if he continues to be an inefficient runner and he could absolutely smash value if touchdown variance goes his way.