Ravens vs. Buccaneers Odds, Predictions, Betting Tips and Trends for Thursday Night Football

Ravens vs. Buccaneers Odds

• Ravens Odds: +1.5 (-110)
• Buccaneers Odds: -1.5 (-110)
• Over/Under: 45.5 
• Date & Time: Thursday, Oct. 27 | 8:15 pm ET
• TV Channel: AMAZON PRIME VIDEO

Thursday Night Football will showcase a matchup between the Baltimore Ravens (4-3) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-4). Oddsmakers peg the Buccaneers as the slight favorite with an implied win probablity of 52%, leaving the Ravens with a 48% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Buccaneers -1.5 with a Game Total of 45.5.

Tampa Bay’s primary disadvantage this season has been their rushing offense, which has ranked #30 in football with a low 3.49 yards per carry. The most important component of a strong ground game is a good offensive line. If the line isn’t opening up holes and creating space, it doesn’t matter how good a team’s running backs are. Unfortunately for Tampa Bay, their line ranks #7-worst in the league in run blocking. When it comes to their defense, the Buccaneers check in at #6 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 201 yards per game against Tampa Bay this year (#5 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #13 against them with 4.52 yards per ground attempt. This Buccaneers defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing running backs, keeping them in check at just 17 yards per game (#1-best in the league). Tampa Bay’s defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, who have caught 82% of their passes (#7-highest in the league).

Baltimore’s biggest weakness has been their defense, ranking #26 in the league while allowing 393 yards per game. Much of their struggle has come in trying to lock down the pass game, as they’ve allowed opposing QBs pass for the #5-most yards per game: 290. The Ravens have been at their worst when it comes to shutting down opposing tight ends, allowing them to complete 87.6% of their targets (#1-highest in football). In terms of their offense, the Ravens have ranked #29 in the league in total yards per game. They’ve passed for 205 yards per game (#24 in football). On the ground they’ve ranked #21 with 4.25 yards per carry.

Ravens Betting Tips

Lamar Jackson – Over/Under 209.5 Passing Yards

• The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Analysis: Betting markets often underestimate the impact of weather in their lines. Passing overs in high wind often project as good values.

Lamar Jackson – Over/Under 19.5 Completions (-110/-120)

• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties rank as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

Analysis: A good pass rush doesn’t give the quarterback as much time to find open receivers, which may lead to a greater chance of going the Under hitting on their props.

Rashod Bateman – Over/Under 48.5 Receiving Yards (-110/-120)

• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.39 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-least in the league.

Analysis: This stat holds extra predictive value because THE BLITZ has adjusted it for context (including opposing offense, weather, down, distance, field position, and more).

Buccaneers Betting Tips

Rachaad White – Over/Under 16.5 Rushing Yards (-113/-113)

• THE BLITZ projects Rachaad White to be a more integral piece of his team’s run game this week (27.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (16.0% in games he has played).

Analysis: The more carries a player receives, the more opportunities he has to accrue rushing stats.

Chris Godwin – Over/Under 6.5 Receptions (-121/-111)

• Chris Godwin’s pass-catching performance tailed off this season, averaging a measly 5.8 yards per game compared to 7.0 last season.This stat holds extra predictive value because. 

Analysis: THE BLITZ has adjusted it for context (including opposing defense, weather, down, distance, field position, and more).

Tom Brady – Over/Under 38.5 Pass Attempts (-130/-102)

• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have gone no-huddle on 12.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

Analysis: A faster pace and more plays run gives all props a greater chance to go Over.

Thursday Night Football Betting Trends

Over/Under 45.5 Game Total (-110/-110)

• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
• The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)

Mark Andrews – Over/Under 58.5 Receiving Yards (-115/-115)

• Mark Andrews has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 33% ROI)