At FantasyLabs, we believe that we have the best tools and data available to those who play daily fantasy sports. We also realize that these tools and data are only as beneficial as our ability to communicate their functionality and worth.
With this in mind, our Trend of the Day series features articles that walk subscribers through an important trend each weekday, created with our Trends tool. Also, shortly after you create a trend, you will be able to see it under the “My Trends” column in our Player Models.
MLB Trend of the Day: Can Elite Hitters Overcome Bad Parks?
Before we begin today’s MLB Trend of the Day, I have to point out that our Trends tool is currently FREE for a limited time. Check out this post that includes a video breakdown from FantasyLabs co-founder Jonathan Bales and a written tutorial that walks completely through how to build a profitable DFS trend.
Anyway, let’s get to today’s trend that is about elite hitters in bad parks. To measure hitters I’m going to look at ISO, and to measure bad parks I’ll use our Park Factor Rating.
Step 1: Trends > Park Factor (Beta) > “0 to 30”
We’re looking at the 30th percentile or less of park factors for batters here, and no surprise, we see that batters have a -0.15 Plus/Minus when in these situations historically.
(trend1)
But what if we look at good batters, as measured by high ISO’s?
Step 2: Stat Split Filters > ISO Split > “0.28 to 2.25”
Even in bad parks, elite hitters have been positive historically.
(trend1)
Our current matches today for this trend are only Early Slate guys: Curt Casali and Taylor Motter for the Tampa Bay Rays. However, if we lower our ISO restrictions to include players for tonight, we see a negative Plus/Minus all of a sudden.