Monkey Knife Fight takes a new spin on daily fantasy, combining player props and parlays. With exciting contest structures, put your football knowledge to the test and pit player performances against one another.
Check out a few picks to consider in this exciting format for Week 13 with the help of our NFL Player Props Tool.
More or Less 2/2 – Jared Goff Passing Yards (224.5) vs. Kirk Cousins Passing Yards (277.5)
Jared Goff leads the Lions, who are still searching for their first win, facing off against a Minnesota Vikings defense ranked 17th in DVOA (per Football Outsiders). The Lions, ranked as the sixth-worst offense (Per PFF), relies on a 62%/38% pass-to-run play-calling scheme, taking a unique approach to the receiving corps, with tight end TJ Hockenson and running back D’Andre Swift, who account for 39% of Lions’ target share. Look for Hockenson and the newly acquired Josh Reynolds to see the bulk of targets from Goff. Dating back to last season, Goff has reached the 225-passing yard mark 13 times. We’re projecting Goff to throw for 216 yards in Sunday’s matchup, trending him toward the under.
Kirk Cousins has an ideal matchup against a Detroit Lions defense, ranked 28th in DVOA. The Vikings, who rely on the arm of Cousins, deploying a 59%/41% pass-to-run play-calling ratio. With a concentrated receiving corps of Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen, who are responsible for more than 48% of the target share, Cousins has reached the 278-passing yard threshold five times this season. However, as 4-point favorites, Minnesota may opt to involve running back Alexander Mattison, who should also see an uptick in production, with Dalvin Cook injured. Our models project Cousins to throw for 270.5 passing yards, trending him toward the under.
The Pick: Jared Goff Less 224.5 passing yards, Kirk Cousins Less 277.5 passing yards
More or Less 2/2 –Justin Herbert Passing Yards (282.5) vs. Joe Burrow Passing Yards (249.5)
With a 49.5-point total, the Week 13 matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Cincinnati Bengals has shootout potential. Justin Herbert leads a Chargers offense who prefers a more pass-heavy approach, using a 66%/37% pass-to-run play calling ratio. The Chargers also rank third in plays, calling an average of 70 plays per game. Facing a Cincinnati defense ranked 16th in DVOA looks to be an ideal matchup for Herbert, who has reached the 283 passing yard threshold six times this season. We’re projecting Herbert to throw for 276.5 passing yards, trending him toward the under.
Playing as one of the slower-paced teams in the league, averaging a play every 28.9 seconds (per RotoViz), Joe Burrow leads a Bengals defense that uses a more balanced approach to their play calling, using a 56%/44% pass-to-run play-calling scheme. A 3-point home favorite, the Bengals way lean heavily on all-purpose running back Joe Mixon in a clock-killing scheme. This season, Burrow has reached the 250-passing yard threshold seven times this season. Facing a Chargers’ defense ranked 11th in pass DVOA may prove a difficult path for success to reach the 250-passing yard threshold. We’re projecting Burrow to throw from 249.5-passing yards, slightly trending him toward the under.
The Pick: Justin Herbert Less 282.5 passing yards, Joe Burrow Less 249.5 passing yards
