At FantasyLabs, we believe that we have the best tools and data available to those who play daily fantasy sports. We also realize that these tools and data are only as beneficial as our ability to communicate their functionality and worth.
With this in mind, our “Trend of the Day” series features articles that walk subscribers through an important trend each weekday, created with our Trends tool. Also, shortly after you create a trend, you will be able to see it under the “My Trends” column in our Player Model tools.
MLB Trend of the Day: Rockies in a Pitcher’s Park
Coors Field always dominates whatever slate it graces with its presence. And because it’s such a dominating factor, there’s a legitimate debate — both in real-life baseball and DFS — about the true value of Rockies players. Just how much does Coors Field inflate their stats?
While we won’t get into the Troy Tulowitzki debate, we will use our new Park Factor Rating (found in both our Trends tool and Player Models) to see how the Rockies perform relative to the league at a pitcher’s park. This is obviously useful information since in today’s slate they face the Giants in San Francisco, which has a Park Rating of ZERO for batters.
Let’s dive into this.
Step 1: Trends > Park Factor (Beta) > “0 to 20”
Even though the Rockies have a Park Factor of 0 tomorrow, let’s look at a bigger sample of negative park situations, as the data set of strictly Rockies vs. Giants in SF is probably too small to use.
Right away, batters dip to a -0.19 Plus/Minus. Let’s see how the Rockies specifically compare to this league-wide rate.
Step 2: Team Filters > Team > “Colorado Rockies”
For the Rockies-suck-outside-of-Coors group, this probably makes you happy to see. This data suggests that Rockies batters are not sufficiently priced down when playing outside of Coors and especially when playing in parks that are highly suboptimal for hitters.
Let’s do one more quick check and look at Rockies batters in this situation with really good splits, as Carlos Gonzalez has a .336 Isolated Power (ISO) vs right-handed pitchers.
Step 3: Stat Split Filters > ISO Split > “.250 to .625″
The Plus/Minus increased slightly, but it is still definitely a negative spot. I think that wraps up this trend study.
Can you find sneaky value on Rockies in a pitcher’s park? Maybe in terms of ownership, but definitely not in terms of fantasy production.