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MLB DFS 4/11/16 Slate Breakdown

Let’s do this.

Pitchers

Max Scherzer, WSH

In 77 instances where a pitcher was priced at $13,000 or greater last season on DraftKings, the average results were a Plus/Minus of +3.08. Along with a strikeouts-per-nine rate 1.3 higher than anyone else at his position, Scherzer is the chalk among chalk in cash games. As if you need anymore reason to roster him, Scherzer is additionally projected to allow the fewest opponent runs.

David Price, BOS

Baltimore as a whole produced an Isolated Power (ISO) Difference of -.054 versus left-handed pitching last season. Considered an absolute steal at FanDuel due to his Bargain Rating of 94%, Price is considered that “second-best” option if looking to stray away from chalk entirely in tournaments. Note that the Orioles’ most important sluggers (Chris Davis, Adam Jones, Manny Machado, Matt Wieters) all have negative Weighted On-Base Average’s (wOBA) vs. LHP.

Jon Lester, CHC

Allowing the fewest home runs per nine of any pitcher priced over $9,500, Vegas is also heavily backing Lester — his -230 moneyline trails only Scherzer in this slate. It especially bodes well that this game is set to be the coldest (the game-time temperature is predicted to be 41 degrees) of the evening.

Pitchers to Exploit

Andrew Cashner, SD

Averaging 8.18 SO/9, there’s always potential downside if going against Cashner. His putrid WHIP (Walks plus Hits per Innings Pitched) of 1.46, however, leaves more than enough room for volatility. Plus, who else is going to have exposure towards the Phillies?

Colby Lewis, TEX

Although he produced a dazzling 17-9 record in 204.2 innings pitched last season, Lewis’ peripherals don’t exactly stress the same. His average distance traveled by a batted ball, for instance, remains a whopping 224 feet over the last 12 months, while his exit velocity allowed qualifies as the highest among pitchers in this slate. Robinson Cano, Nelson Cruz, Seth Smith, Kyle Seager — though a variance of positive and negative ISO Differences sprinkled throughout, are all viable tournament options tonight.

C

Jarrod Saltalamacchia, DET

Seeing as he’s played in only one game this season, there’s a better-than-average chance that Saltalamacchia isn’t in Detroit’s lineup. If he is, though, he arguably remains cash eligible due to his .641 slugging percentage against lefties. His 12 Pro Trends are also three more than any other catcher in this slate.

Stephen Vogt, OAK

Though he produced a poor ISO of .092 versus lefties last season, Vogt hit .211 in that category against righties. His average batted-ball distance of 219 feet qualifies as the third-highest among catchers.

1B

Ryan Howard, PHI

Considered an integral part of that aforementioned Phillies stack, Howard has wOBA and ISO Differences of .175/.133. His 93% Bargain Rating at FanDuel makes him, at worst, an underrated value in tournaments.

David Ortiz, BOS

The Red Sox are projected to score a slate-high 5.0 runs (as always, monitor line movements throughout the day). Given his 13 Pro Trends (most of anyone in today’s player pool), Ortiz is possibly considered the strongest cash play of any skill position. Note his slugging percentage of .635 vs. RHP.

2B

Scooter Gennett, MIL

Gennett was benched in favor of a platoon Sunday afternoon but is once again a viable option now that he’s set to oppose a righty. With a wOBA Difference of .104, it’s a tremendous tournament spot for Gennett given the Brewers projected total of 3.3 runs — with so many players dependent on Vegas lines this early into the season, his outstanding peripherals vs. RHP are likely to be ignored.

Robinson Cano, SEA

Although a measly total of 8.0 DraftKings points in back-to-back games, Cano’s slugging percentage of .491 against righties arguably makes him a cash option in this slate. His .194 ISO trails only Brian Dozier (.220) among second basemen.

3B

Nick Castellanos, DET

Projected to hit sixth for the Tigers, Castellanos’ .563 slugging percentage qualifies as the highest among third basemen. As long as he’s in their lineup, Castellanos is cash viable at FanDuel given his Bargain Rating of 97%.

SS

Carlos Correa, HOU

Despite his ISO Difference of -0.05, Correa’s slugging percentage of .513 ranks third among shortstops. Although he’s failed to meet expectations in three consecutive games, his exit velocity of 95 mph this season likely spells regression in his favor. The Astros are also projected to score the second-most runs Monday.

OF

Giancarlo Stanton, MIA

Stanton, who slugged .814 against lefties last season, has an ISO Difference of .244. Yep.

Mookie Betts, BOS

Slugging a respectable .481 vs. RHP, Betts can additionally deliver with his legs — he’s averaging .152 steals per game. Still, Betts’ real value comes in his lineup order, as he’s projected to bat leadoff for a Boston team (as mentioned earlier) projected to score the most runs today.

Adam Eaton, CWS

Expected to return to Chicago’s lineup today, note Eaton’s wOBA and ISO Differences of .071/.112. With a 98% Bargain Rating at FanDuel, Eaton could easily be argued as a cash option (given his value).

Bryce Harper, WSH

With a $4,900 price point, Harper has basically become the DeMarcus Cousins of DraftKings: until his price budges dramatically, he needs to be rostered each and every night. His ridiculous slugging percentage of .703 trails only Stanton in this slate.

Weather Watch

Assuming Houston closes their roof, only Brewers-Cardinals (50% chance of inclement weather) needs monitoring at this time.

Good luck!

Let’s do this.

Pitchers

Max Scherzer, WSH

In 77 instances where a pitcher was priced at $13,000 or greater last season on DraftKings, the average results were a Plus/Minus of +3.08. Along with a strikeouts-per-nine rate 1.3 higher than anyone else at his position, Scherzer is the chalk among chalk in cash games. As if you need anymore reason to roster him, Scherzer is additionally projected to allow the fewest opponent runs.

David Price, BOS

Baltimore as a whole produced an Isolated Power (ISO) Difference of -.054 versus left-handed pitching last season. Considered an absolute steal at FanDuel due to his Bargain Rating of 94%, Price is considered that “second-best” option if looking to stray away from chalk entirely in tournaments. Note that the Orioles’ most important sluggers (Chris Davis, Adam Jones, Manny Machado, Matt Wieters) all have negative Weighted On-Base Average’s (wOBA) vs. LHP.

Jon Lester, CHC

Allowing the fewest home runs per nine of any pitcher priced over $9,500, Vegas is also heavily backing Lester — his -230 moneyline trails only Scherzer in this slate. It especially bodes well that this game is set to be the coldest (the game-time temperature is predicted to be 41 degrees) of the evening.

Pitchers to Exploit

Andrew Cashner, SD

Averaging 8.18 SO/9, there’s always potential downside if going against Cashner. His putrid WHIP (Walks plus Hits per Innings Pitched) of 1.46, however, leaves more than enough room for volatility. Plus, who else is going to have exposure towards the Phillies?

Colby Lewis, TEX

Although he produced a dazzling 17-9 record in 204.2 innings pitched last season, Lewis’ peripherals don’t exactly stress the same. His average distance traveled by a batted ball, for instance, remains a whopping 224 feet over the last 12 months, while his exit velocity allowed qualifies as the highest among pitchers in this slate. Robinson Cano, Nelson Cruz, Seth Smith, Kyle Seager — though a variance of positive and negative ISO Differences sprinkled throughout, are all viable tournament options tonight.

C

Jarrod Saltalamacchia, DET

Seeing as he’s played in only one game this season, there’s a better-than-average chance that Saltalamacchia isn’t in Detroit’s lineup. If he is, though, he arguably remains cash eligible due to his .641 slugging percentage against lefties. His 12 Pro Trends are also three more than any other catcher in this slate.

Stephen Vogt, OAK

Though he produced a poor ISO of .092 versus lefties last season, Vogt hit .211 in that category against righties. His average batted-ball distance of 219 feet qualifies as the third-highest among catchers.

1B

Ryan Howard, PHI

Considered an integral part of that aforementioned Phillies stack, Howard has wOBA and ISO Differences of .175/.133. His 93% Bargain Rating at FanDuel makes him, at worst, an underrated value in tournaments.

David Ortiz, BOS

The Red Sox are projected to score a slate-high 5.0 runs (as always, monitor line movements throughout the day). Given his 13 Pro Trends (most of anyone in today’s player pool), Ortiz is possibly considered the strongest cash play of any skill position. Note his slugging percentage of .635 vs. RHP.

2B

Scooter Gennett, MIL

Gennett was benched in favor of a platoon Sunday afternoon but is once again a viable option now that he’s set to oppose a righty. With a wOBA Difference of .104, it’s a tremendous tournament spot for Gennett given the Brewers projected total of 3.3 runs — with so many players dependent on Vegas lines this early into the season, his outstanding peripherals vs. RHP are likely to be ignored.

Robinson Cano, SEA

Although a measly total of 8.0 DraftKings points in back-to-back games, Cano’s slugging percentage of .491 against righties arguably makes him a cash option in this slate. His .194 ISO trails only Brian Dozier (.220) among second basemen.

3B

Nick Castellanos, DET

Projected to hit sixth for the Tigers, Castellanos’ .563 slugging percentage qualifies as the highest among third basemen. As long as he’s in their lineup, Castellanos is cash viable at FanDuel given his Bargain Rating of 97%.

SS

Carlos Correa, HOU

Despite his ISO Difference of -0.05, Correa’s slugging percentage of .513 ranks third among shortstops. Although he’s failed to meet expectations in three consecutive games, his exit velocity of 95 mph this season likely spells regression in his favor. The Astros are also projected to score the second-most runs Monday.

OF

Giancarlo Stanton, MIA

Stanton, who slugged .814 against lefties last season, has an ISO Difference of .244. Yep.

Mookie Betts, BOS

Slugging a respectable .481 vs. RHP, Betts can additionally deliver with his legs — he’s averaging .152 steals per game. Still, Betts’ real value comes in his lineup order, as he’s projected to bat leadoff for a Boston team (as mentioned earlier) projected to score the most runs today.

Adam Eaton, CWS

Expected to return to Chicago’s lineup today, note Eaton’s wOBA and ISO Differences of .071/.112. With a 98% Bargain Rating at FanDuel, Eaton could easily be argued as a cash option (given his value).

Bryce Harper, WSH

With a $4,900 price point, Harper has basically become the DeMarcus Cousins of DraftKings: until his price budges dramatically, he needs to be rostered each and every night. His ridiculous slugging percentage of .703 trails only Stanton in this slate.

Weather Watch

Assuming Houston closes their roof, only Brewers-Cardinals (50% chance of inclement weather) needs monitoring at this time.

Good luck!